The People Power Party enters the June 3 parliamentary by-elections facing structural disadvantages after the 2025 martial law crisis and subsequent leadership turmoil, which have depressed its approval ratings and triggered nomination disputes. Traders price exactly three seats as the consensus outcome because the party retains pockets of regional strength in conservative-leaning districts while struggling to compete nationally against the ruling Democratic Party’s organizational edge and geographic advantages in most contested races. Recent polling and candidate positioning show limited momentum for larger gains, with internal party disarray further capping upside potential. Resolution depends on final vote counts across the at least four seats up for grabs alongside nationwide local elections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
3 47%
2 39%
1 12.3%
4 8.2%
$37,158 ปริมาณ
$37,158 ปริมาณ
Jun 3, 2026
0
4%
1
12%
2
33%
3
47%
4
8%
5
2%
6+
1%
3 47%
2 39%
1 12.3%
4 8.2%
$37,158 ปริมาณ
$37,158 ปริมาณ
Jun 3, 2026
0
$4,516 ปริมาณ
4%
1
$4,455 ปริมาณ
12%
2
$11,228 ปริมาณ
33%
3
$5,550 ปริมาณ
47%
4
$4,582 ปริมาณ
8%
5
$2,434 ปริมาณ
2%
6+
$4,393 ปริมาณ
1%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The People Power Party enters the June 3 parliamentary by-elections facing structural disadvantages after the 2025 martial law crisis and subsequent leadership turmoil, which have depressed its approval ratings and triggered nomination disputes. Traders price exactly three seats as the consensus outcome because the party retains pockets of regional strength in conservative-leaning districts while struggling to compete nationally against the ruling Democratic Party’s organizational edge and geographic advantages in most contested races. Recent polling and candidate positioning show limited momentum for larger gains, with internal party disarray further capping upside potential. Resolution depends on final vote counts across the at least four seats up for grabs alongside nationwide local elections.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,158วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The People Power Party enters the June 3 parliamentary by-elections facing structural disadvantages after the 2025 martial law crisis and subsequent leadership turmoil, which have depressed its approval ratings and triggered nomination disputes. Traders price exactly three seats as the consensus outcome because the party retains pockets of regional strength in conservative-leaning districts while struggling to compete nationally against the ruling Democratic Party’s organizational edge and geographic advantages in most contested races. Recent polling and candidate positioning show limited momentum for larger gains, with internal party disarray further capping upside potential. Resolution depends on final vote counts across the at least four seats up for grabs alongside nationwide local elections.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,158วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The People Power Party enters the June 3 parliamentary by-elections facing structural disadvantages after the 2025 martial law crisis and subsequent leadership turmoil, which have depressed its approval ratings and triggered nomination disputes. Traders price exactly three seats as the consensus outcome because the party retains pockets of regional strength in conservative-leaning districts while struggling to compete nationally against the ruling Democratic Party’s organizational edge and geographic advantages in most contested races. Recent polling and candidate positioning show limited momentum for larger gains, with internal party disarray further capping upside potential. Resolution depends on final vote counts across the at least four seats up for grabs alongside nationwide local elections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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