Recent district polls in conservative strongholds have positioned the People Power Party to secure exactly three of the parliamentary seats contested in the June 3 by-elections, which coincide with nationwide local contests. Localized advantages in districts such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap, alongside tightening races in Busan Buk-gu Gap, have lifted expectations for a third win despite the party's single-digit national approval ratings following the 2024 martial law episode. Finalized candidate nominations in early May further clarified the competitive field, reinforcing these regional dynamics ahead of the vote. Traders assign the highest implied probability to three seats, reflecting assessments of these targeted strengths rather than broader national trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
3 49%
2 30%
1 8.8%
4 8.3%
$37,828 ปริมาณ
$37,828 ปริมาณ
Jun 3, 2026
0
7%
1
9%
2
30%
3
51%
4
8%
5
2%
6+
<1%
3 49%
2 30%
1 8.8%
4 8.3%
$37,828 ปริมาณ
$37,828 ปริมาณ
Jun 3, 2026
0
$4,538 ปริมาณ
7%
1
$4,491 ปริมาณ
9%
2
$11,747 ปริมาณ
30%
3
$5,623 ปริมาณ
51%
4
$4,592 ปริมาณ
8%
5
$2,440 ปริมาณ
2%
6+
$4,398 ปริมาณ
<1%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Recent district polls in conservative strongholds have positioned the People Power Party to secure exactly three of the parliamentary seats contested in the June 3 by-elections, which coincide with nationwide local contests. Localized advantages in districts such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap, alongside tightening races in Busan Buk-gu Gap, have lifted expectations for a third win despite the party's single-digit national approval ratings following the 2024 martial law episode. Finalized candidate nominations in early May further clarified the competitive field, reinforcing these regional dynamics ahead of the vote. Traders assign the highest implied probability to three seats, reflecting assessments of these targeted strengths rather than broader national trends.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,828วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Recent district polls in conservative strongholds have positioned the People Power Party to secure exactly three of the parliamentary seats contested in the June 3 by-elections, which coincide with nationwide local contests. Localized advantages in districts such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap, alongside tightening races in Busan Buk-gu Gap, have lifted expectations for a third win despite the party's single-digit national approval ratings following the 2024 martial law episode. Finalized candidate nominations in early May further clarified the competitive field, reinforcing these regional dynamics ahead of the vote. Traders assign the highest implied probability to three seats, reflecting assessments of these targeted strengths rather than broader national trends.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,828วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent district polls in conservative strongholds have positioned the People Power Party to secure exactly three of the parliamentary seats contested in the June 3 by-elections, which coincide with nationwide local contests. Localized advantages in districts such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap, alongside tightening races in Busan Buk-gu Gap, have lifted expectations for a third win despite the party's single-digit national approval ratings following the 2024 martial law episode. Finalized candidate nominations in early May further clarified the competitive field, reinforcing these regional dynamics ahead of the vote. Traders assign the highest implied probability to three seats, reflecting assessments of these targeted strengths rather than broader national trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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