Traders see a 99% likelihood that Pete Hegseth will remain Secretary of Defense through May 31, driven by the absence of any White House statements, congressional pressure, or internal administration signals favoring a swift cabinet change. Hegseth has continued routine defense policy work since confirmation with no major controversies or performance issues surfacing in the past month. The brief window before the deadline reduces the chance for sudden developments to unfold. While the president can remove cabinet secretaries at any time, such moves historically follow sustained reviews or public disputes rather than occurring without warning. Late-breaking factors like a significant scandal, health event, or policy dispute could still shift outcomes before the end of May.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
$664,525 ปริมาณ
$664,525 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
$664,525 ปริมาณ
$664,525 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders see a 99% likelihood that Pete Hegseth will remain Secretary of Defense through May 31, driven by the absence of any White House statements, congressional pressure, or internal administration signals favoring a swift cabinet change. Hegseth has continued routine defense policy work since confirmation with no major controversies or performance issues surfacing in the past month. The brief window before the deadline reduces the chance for sudden developments to unfold. While the president can remove cabinet secretaries at any time, such moves historically follow sustained reviews or public disputes rather than occurring without warning. Late-breaking factors like a significant scandal, health event, or policy dispute could still shift outcomes before the end of May.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$664,525วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders see a 99% likelihood that Pete Hegseth will remain Secretary of Defense through May 31, driven by the absence of any White House statements, congressional pressure, or internal administration signals favoring a swift cabinet change. Hegseth has continued routine defense policy work since confirmation with no major controversies or performance issues surfacing in the past month. The brief window before the deadline reduces the chance for sudden developments to unfold. While the president can remove cabinet secretaries at any time, such moves historically follow sustained reviews or public disputes rather than occurring without warning. Late-breaking factors like a significant scandal, health event, or policy dispute could still shift outcomes before the end of May.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$664,525วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders see a 99% likelihood that Pete Hegseth will remain Secretary of Defense through May 31, driven by the absence of any White House statements, congressional pressure, or internal administration signals favoring a swift cabinet change. Hegseth has continued routine defense policy work since confirmation with no major controversies or performance issues surfacing in the past month. The brief window before the deadline reduces the chance for sudden developments to unfold. While the president can remove cabinet secretaries at any time, such moves historically follow sustained reviews or public disputes rather than occurring without warning. Late-breaking factors like a significant scandal, health event, or policy dispute could still shift outcomes before the end of May.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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