With only about 0.5 inches of rain recorded in New York City through mid-June against a 4.5-inch monthly climatological normal, traders are pricing in a below-average total driven by the persistent dry start and seasonal outlooks favoring drier conditions. Model consensus and long-range guidance point to limited organized systems, with any additional accumulation likely coming from scattered convective showers or brief tropical moisture pulses rather than widespread events. The tight spread between the 2–3-inch and 3–4-inch bins reflects uncertainty in late-month forecast trends and typical June variability, where a single stalled front or thunderstorm cluster could shift totals by an inch or more before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPrecipitation in NYC in June?
Precipitation in NYC in June?
4-5" 43%
2-3" 14%
<2" 13%
>6" 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2026
<2"
17%
2-3"
22%
3-4"
37%
4-5"
27%
5-6"
16%
>6"
12%
4-5" 43%
2-3" 14%
<2" 13%
>6" 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2026
<2"
$279 ปริมาณ
17%
2-3"
$92 ปริมาณ
22%
3-4"
$103 ปริมาณ
37%
4-5"
$86 ปริมาณ
27%
5-6"
$137 ปริมาณ
16%
>6"
$252 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With only about 0.5 inches of rain recorded in New York City through mid-June against a 4.5-inch monthly climatological normal, traders are pricing in a below-average total driven by the persistent dry start and seasonal outlooks favoring drier conditions. Model consensus and long-range guidance point to limited organized systems, with any additional accumulation likely coming from scattered convective showers or brief tropical moisture pulses rather than widespread events. The tight spread between the 2–3-inch and 3–4-inch bins reflects uncertainty in late-month forecast trends and typical June variability, where a single stalled front or thunderstorm cluster could shift totals by an inch or more before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$948วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With only about 0.5 inches of rain recorded in New York City through mid-June against a 4.5-inch monthly climatological normal, traders are pricing in a below-average total driven by the persistent dry start and seasonal outlooks favoring drier conditions. Model consensus and long-range guidance point to limited organized systems, with any additional accumulation likely coming from scattered convective showers or brief tropical moisture pulses rather than widespread events. The tight spread between the 2–3-inch and 3–4-inch bins reflects uncertainty in late-month forecast trends and typical June variability, where a single stalled front or thunderstorm cluster could shift totals by an inch or more before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$948วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With only about 0.5 inches of rain recorded in New York City through mid-June against a 4.5-inch monthly climatological normal, traders are pricing in a below-average total driven by the persistent dry start and seasonal outlooks favoring drier conditions. Model consensus and long-range guidance point to limited organized systems, with any additional accumulation likely coming from scattered convective showers or brief tropical moisture pulses rather than widespread events. The tight spread between the 2–3-inch and 3–4-inch bins reflects uncertainty in late-month forecast trends and typical June variability, where a single stalled front or thunderstorm cluster could shift totals by an inch or more before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย