United Russia maintains overwhelming dominance in the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, media access, and alignment with the Kremlin, which structures the electoral system to favor its outcomes. The party currently holds a supermajority and benefits from a political environment where genuine opposition is marginalized, while the other listed parties function as systemic alternatives that routinely trail far behind in polls and prior votes. Three-day voting procedures and regional precedents from 2025 reinforce expectations of a decisive victory. Trader consensus at 98.3% reflects these structural barriers, though abrupt shifts in leadership dynamics or unforeseen escalations could theoretically alter trajectories before polls close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วพรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) 98.3%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR) <1%
พรรคคนใหม่ (NL) <1%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) <1%
$3,110,088 ปริมาณ
$3,110,088 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER)
98%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR)
1%
พรรคคนใหม่ (NL)
1%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
1%
Yabloko
<1%
พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
พรรคเวทีพลเมือง (GP)
<1%
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) 98.3%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR) <1%
พรรคคนใหม่ (NL) <1%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) <1%
$3,110,088 ปริมาณ
$3,110,088 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER)
$774,120 ปริมาณ
98%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR)
$196,555 ปริมาณ
1%
พรรคคนใหม่ (NL)
$130,045 ปริมาณ
1%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
$153,739 ปริมาณ
1%
Yabloko
$23,351 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
$729,847 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rodina
$500,792 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคเวทีพลเมือง (GP)
$601,638 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains overwhelming dominance in the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, media access, and alignment with the Kremlin, which structures the electoral system to favor its outcomes. The party currently holds a supermajority and benefits from a political environment where genuine opposition is marginalized, while the other listed parties function as systemic alternatives that routinely trail far behind in polls and prior votes. Three-day voting procedures and regional precedents from 2025 reinforce expectations of a decisive victory. Trader consensus at 98.3% reflects these structural barriers, though abrupt shifts in leadership dynamics or unforeseen escalations could theoretically alter trajectories before polls close.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,110,088วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains overwhelming dominance in the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, media access, and alignment with the Kremlin, which structures the electoral system to favor its outcomes. The party currently holds a supermajority and benefits from a political environment where genuine opposition is marginalized, while the other listed parties function as systemic alternatives that routinely trail far behind in polls and prior votes. Three-day voting procedures and regional precedents from 2025 reinforce expectations of a decisive victory. Trader consensus at 98.3% reflects these structural barriers, though abrupt shifts in leadership dynamics or unforeseen escalations could theoretically alter trajectories before polls close.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,110,088วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains overwhelming dominance in the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, media access, and alignment with the Kremlin, which structures the electoral system to favor its outcomes. The party currently holds a supermajority and benefits from a political environment where genuine opposition is marginalized, while the other listed parties function as systemic alternatives that routinely trail far behind in polls and prior votes. Three-day voting procedures and regional precedents from 2025 reinforce expectations of a decisive victory. Trader consensus at 98.3% reflects these structural barriers, though abrupt shifts in leadership dynamics or unforeseen escalations could theoretically alter trajectories before polls close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
43%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
83%
รัสเซียรวม (ER) จะได้ที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภาครั้งหน้าของรัสเซียหรือไม่?
67%
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