Iranian authorities imposed one of the longest recorded nationwide internet shutdowns in early 2026, beginning with protests on January 8 and intensifying after U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, with connectivity dropping below 1-5% of normal levels for roughly 88 days until partial restoration in late May under President Masoud Pezeshkian. The government relied on BGP route withdrawals, throttling, and the National Information Network to enforce controls, while shifting toward tiered access that privileges select users and restricts platforms for most. Recent September 2026 reporting indicates connectivity has recovered modestly but remains slow with widespread blocks and ineffective VPNs, reflecting a preference for sustained filtering over repeated total outages. Trader assessments of future blackouts hinge on protest resurgence, escalation risks in regional tensions, and the economic or political costs of further isolation versus maintaining the current restricted framework.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$248,116 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
6%
December 31
31%
$248,116 ปริมาณ
September 30
$6,319 ปริมาณ
6%
December 31
$12,346 ปริมาณ
31%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities imposed one of the longest recorded nationwide internet shutdowns in early 2026, beginning with protests on January 8 and intensifying after U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, with connectivity dropping below 1-5% of normal levels for roughly 88 days until partial restoration in late May under President Masoud Pezeshkian. The government relied on BGP route withdrawals, throttling, and the National Information Network to enforce controls, while shifting toward tiered access that privileges select users and restricts platforms for most. Recent September 2026 reporting indicates connectivity has recovered modestly but remains slow with widespread blocks and ineffective VPNs, reflecting a preference for sustained filtering over repeated total outages. Trader assessments of future blackouts hinge on protest resurgence, escalation risks in regional tensions, and the economic or political costs of further isolation versus maintaining the current restricted framework.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$248,116วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities imposed one of the longest recorded nationwide internet shutdowns in early 2026, beginning with protests on January 8 and intensifying after U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, with connectivity dropping below 1-5% of normal levels for roughly 88 days until partial restoration in late May under President Masoud Pezeshkian. The government relied on BGP route withdrawals, throttling, and the National Information Network to enforce controls, while shifting toward tiered access that privileges select users and restricts platforms for most. Recent September 2026 reporting indicates connectivity has recovered modestly but remains slow with widespread blocks and ineffective VPNs, reflecting a preference for sustained filtering over repeated total outages. Trader assessments of future blackouts hinge on protest resurgence, escalation risks in regional tensions, and the economic or political costs of further isolation versus maintaining the current restricted framework.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$248,116วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Iranian authorities imposed one of the longest recorded nationwide internet shutdowns in early 2026, beginning with protests on January 8 and intensifying after U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, with connectivity dropping below 1-5% of normal levels for roughly 88 days until partial restoration in late May under President Masoud Pezeshkian. The government relied on BGP route withdrawals, throttling, and the National Information Network to enforce controls, while shifting toward tiered access that privileges select users and restricts platforms for most. Recent September 2026 reporting indicates connectivity has recovered modestly but remains slow with widespread blocks and ineffective VPNs, reflecting a preference for sustained filtering over repeated total outages. Trader assessments of future blackouts hinge on protest resurgence, escalation risks in regional tensions, and the economic or political costs of further isolation versus maintaining the current restricted framework.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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