Trump's approval rating has hovered in the mid-to-high 30s amid persistent economic discontent and fallout from the Iran conflict, with recent Pew and Quinnipiac surveys showing disapproval near 64% on issues including the economy, foreign policy, and gas prices. Traders see little immediate catalyst before August 14, as midterm positioning and steady negative trends since spring maintain the tight clustering around 37–39%. A major policy announcement, escalation in foreign developments, or positive economic data release could shift the implied probability toward higher or lower bins, while the absence of such events leaves the outcome closely contested in line with current polling aggregates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว38.5–38.9 38%
39.0+ 38%
37.0–37.4 37%
37.5–37.9 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
<37.0
16%
37.0–37.4
37%
37.5–37.9
37%
38.0–38.4
37%
38.5–38.9
38%
39.0+
38%
38.5–38.9 38%
39.0+ 38%
37.0–37.4 37%
37.5–37.9 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
<37.0
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
37.0–37.4
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
37.5–37.9
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
38.0–38.4
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
38.5–38.9
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
39.0+
$2 ปริมาณ
38%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump's approval rating has hovered in the mid-to-high 30s amid persistent economic discontent and fallout from the Iran conflict, with recent Pew and Quinnipiac surveys showing disapproval near 64% on issues including the economy, foreign policy, and gas prices. Traders see little immediate catalyst before August 14, as midterm positioning and steady negative trends since spring maintain the tight clustering around 37–39%. A major policy announcement, escalation in foreign developments, or positive economic data release could shift the implied probability toward higher or lower bins, while the absence of such events leaves the outcome closely contested in line with current polling aggregates.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump's approval rating has hovered in the mid-to-high 30s amid persistent economic discontent and fallout from the Iran conflict, with recent Pew and Quinnipiac surveys showing disapproval near 64% on issues including the economy, foreign policy, and gas prices. Traders see little immediate catalyst before August 14, as midterm positioning and steady negative trends since spring maintain the tight clustering around 37–39%. A major policy announcement, escalation in foreign developments, or positive economic data release could shift the implied probability toward higher or lower bins, while the absence of such events leaves the outcome closely contested in line with current polling aggregates.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's approval rating has hovered in the mid-to-high 30s amid persistent economic discontent and fallout from the Iran conflict, with recent Pew and Quinnipiac surveys showing disapproval near 64% on issues including the economy, foreign policy, and gas prices. Traders see little immediate catalyst before August 14, as midterm positioning and steady negative trends since spring maintain the tight clustering around 37–39%. A major policy announcement, escalation in foreign developments, or positive economic data release could shift the implied probability toward higher or lower bins, while the absence of such events leaves the outcome closely contested in line with current polling aggregates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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