US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes on Caracas and capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a targeted operation, marking the initial military incursion that traders view as the baseline event. Since then, no additional US troop deployments or ground entries have occurred, with officials including Secretary of State Marco Rubio stating no plans for further military action amid a continued naval blockade and sanctions to pressure a political transition. Recent developments include US diplomats, CIA personnel, and military advisors arriving in late April to support upcoming Venezuelan elections and negotiations with interim leaders, reflecting de-escalation and diplomatic focus over escalation. Absent new provocations like territorial disputes or failed talks, trader consensus implies low probabilities for re-entry by mid-2026 dates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วกองกำลังสหรัฐเข้าสู่เวเนซุเอลาอีกครั้งโดย...?
กองกำลังสหรัฐเข้าสู่เวเนซุเอลาอีกครั้งโดย...?
$1,298,259 ปริมาณ
Jan 31, 2026
30 มิถุนายน
6%
$1,298,259 ปริมาณ
30 มิถุนายน
$213,496 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes on Caracas and capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a targeted operation, marking the initial military incursion that traders view as the baseline event. Since then, no additional US troop deployments or ground entries have occurred, with officials including Secretary of State Marco Rubio stating no plans for further military action amid a continued naval blockade and sanctions to pressure a political transition. Recent developments include US diplomats, CIA personnel, and military advisors arriving in late April to support upcoming Venezuelan elections and negotiations with interim leaders, reflecting de-escalation and diplomatic focus over escalation. Absent new provocations like territorial disputes or failed talks, trader consensus implies low probabilities for re-entry by mid-2026 dates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,298,259วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes on Caracas and capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a targeted operation, marking the initial military incursion that traders view as the baseline event. Since then, no additional US troop deployments or ground entries have occurred, with officials including Secretary of State Marco Rubio stating no plans for further military action amid a continued naval blockade and sanctions to pressure a political transition. Recent developments include US diplomats, CIA personnel, and military advisors arriving in late April to support upcoming Venezuelan elections and negotiations with interim leaders, reflecting de-escalation and diplomatic focus over escalation. Absent new provocations like territorial disputes or failed talks, trader consensus implies low probabilities for re-entry by mid-2026 dates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,298,259วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes on Caracas and capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a targeted operation, marking the initial military incursion that traders view as the baseline event. Since then, no additional US troop deployments or ground entries have occurred, with officials including Secretary of State Marco Rubio stating no plans for further military action amid a continued naval blockade and sanctions to pressure a political transition. Recent developments include US diplomats, CIA personnel, and military advisors arriving in late April to support upcoming Venezuelan elections and negotiations with interim leaders, reflecting de-escalation and diplomatic focus over escalation. Absent new provocations like territorial disputes or failed talks, trader consensus implies low probabilities for re-entry by mid-2026 dates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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