Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva seeks a fourth term amid economic pressures and approval ratings near 45 percent, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro carries the right-wing candidacy after his father Jair Bolsonaro's ineligibility following a coup-related conviction. Recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel polls show the pair statistically tied in runoff simulations, with first-round intentions splitting between 39 and 46 percent for each amid a fragmented field that includes Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff hinge on vote consolidation, ongoing Supreme Court scrutiny of Flávio Bolsonaro over funding allegations, and any late endorsements or economic data that could shift undecided voters in this closely contested race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
$321,214 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
84%
Flavio Bolsonaro
72%
Fernando Haddad
8%
Michelle Bolsonaro
4%
Jair Bolsonaro
3%
Tarcisio de Frietas
3%
$321,214 ปริมาณ
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$135,111 ปริมาณ
84%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$20,612 ปริมาณ
72%
Fernando Haddad
$51,472 ปริมาณ
8%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$26,646 ปริมาณ
4%
Jair Bolsonaro
$11,325 ปริมาณ
3%
Tarcisio de Frietas
$76,048 ปริมาณ
3%
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva seeks a fourth term amid economic pressures and approval ratings near 45 percent, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro carries the right-wing candidacy after his father Jair Bolsonaro's ineligibility following a coup-related conviction. Recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel polls show the pair statistically tied in runoff simulations, with first-round intentions splitting between 39 and 46 percent for each amid a fragmented field that includes Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff hinge on vote consolidation, ongoing Supreme Court scrutiny of Flávio Bolsonaro over funding allegations, and any late endorsements or economic data that could shift undecided voters in this closely contested race.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 8, 2025, 6:42 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$321,214วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 8, 2025, 6:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva seeks a fourth term amid economic pressures and approval ratings near 45 percent, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro carries the right-wing candidacy after his father Jair Bolsonaro's ineligibility following a coup-related conviction. Recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel polls show the pair statistically tied in runoff simulations, with first-round intentions splitting between 39 and 46 percent for each amid a fragmented field that includes Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff hinge on vote consolidation, ongoing Supreme Court scrutiny of Flávio Bolsonaro over funding allegations, and any late endorsements or economic data that could shift undecided voters in this closely contested race.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$321,214วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 8, 2025, 6:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva seeks a fourth term amid economic pressures and approval ratings near 45 percent, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro carries the right-wing candidacy after his father Jair Bolsonaro's ineligibility following a coup-related conviction. Recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel polls show the pair statistically tied in runoff simulations, with first-round intentions splitting between 39 and 46 percent for each amid a fragmented field that includes Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff hinge on vote consolidation, ongoing Supreme Court scrutiny of Flávio Bolsonaro over funding allegations, and any late endorsements or economic data that could shift undecided voters in this closely contested race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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