Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, anchors the 96.7% market-implied odds by leading multiple September 2026 leaderboards including BenchAlign, HLE, and agentic indexes with scores around 84.6 and 65%, ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and other frontier models. Verified benchmark results and Anthropic's internal data showing Claude handling 26% of its own R&D work have reinforced trader consensus on its current edge in reasoning, coding, and agentic capabilities. With resolution just days away, a late competitor release or independent benchmark revision could still alter the outcome, though no such developments appear imminent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 96.7%
Meta 1.8%
Google 1.1%
OpenAI 1.0%
$107,512 ปริมาณ
$107,512 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
97%
Meta
2%
1%
OpenAI
1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 96.7%
Meta 1.8%
Google 1.1%
OpenAI 1.0%
$107,512 ปริมาณ
$107,512 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
$46,518 ปริมาณ
97%
Meta
$10,854 ปริมาณ
2%
$6,057 ปริมาณ
1%
OpenAI
$12,424 ปริมาณ
1%
SpaceXAI
$3,511 ปริมาณ
<1%
Moonshot
$5,004 ปริมาณ
<1%
Z.ai
$3,229 ปริมาณ
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,872 ปริมาณ
<1%
Alibaba
$4,223 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$769 ปริมาณ
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,250 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$436 ปริมาณ
<1%
MiniMax
$436 ปริมาณ
<1%
Thinky
$1,313 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$930 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$1,554 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$436 ปริมาณ
<1%
Nvidia
$920 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tencent
$2,658 ปริมาณ
<1%
StepFun
$1,360 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$762 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, anchors the 96.7% market-implied odds by leading multiple September 2026 leaderboards including BenchAlign, HLE, and agentic indexes with scores around 84.6 and 65%, ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and other frontier models. Verified benchmark results and Anthropic's internal data showing Claude handling 26% of its own R&D work have reinforced trader consensus on its current edge in reasoning, coding, and agentic capabilities. With resolution just days away, a late competitor release or independent benchmark revision could still alter the outcome, though no such developments appear imminent.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$107,512วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overallผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, anchors the 96.7% market-implied odds by leading multiple September 2026 leaderboards including BenchAlign, HLE, and agentic indexes with scores around 84.6 and 65%, ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and other frontier models. Verified benchmark results and Anthropic's internal data showing Claude handling 26% of its own R&D work have reinforced trader consensus on its current edge in reasoning, coding, and agentic capabilities. With resolution just days away, a late competitor release or independent benchmark revision could still alter the outcome, though no such developments appear imminent.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$107,512วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overallผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, anchors the 96.7% market-implied odds by leading multiple September 2026 leaderboards including BenchAlign, HLE, and agentic indexes with scores around 84.6 and 65%, ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and other frontier models. Verified benchmark results and Anthropic's internal data showing Claude handling 26% of its own R&D work have reinforced trader consensus on its current edge in reasoning, coding, and agentic capabilities. With resolution just days away, a late competitor release or independent benchmark revision could still alter the outcome, though no such developments appear imminent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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