OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launch on September 3 has driven the 75% market-implied odds by immediately claiming the top Code Arena WebDev spot at 1,797 Elo points, 35 ahead of Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1. The crowdsourced leaderboard evaluates agentic frontend workflows, multi-step reasoning, and tool use on real tasks, where the new model’s gains in iterative coding and UI generation created a clear lead. Anthropic holds a secondary 25% position from prior Claude strengths, while Google’s Gemini variants, Alibaba’s Qwen, Moonshot’s Kimi, and others trail amid ongoing updates. With resolution at month-end, any late-September model drops or leaderboard shifts could still alter the ranking before final votes close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOpenAI 75.8%
Anthropic 25%
SpaceXAI <1%
Moonshot <1%
$142,658 ปริมาณ
$142,658 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI
76%
Anthropic
25%
SpaceXAI
1%
Moonshot
1%
Alibaba
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI 75.8%
Anthropic 25%
SpaceXAI <1%
Moonshot <1%
$142,658 ปริมาณ
$142,658 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI
$27,427 ปริมาณ
76%
Anthropic
$59,301 ปริมาณ
25%
SpaceXAI
$6,591 ปริมาณ
1%
Moonshot
$20,259 ปริมาณ
1%
Alibaba
$8,529 ปริมาณ
<1%
Z.ai
$4,801 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meta
$3,137 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$1,134 ปริมาณ
<1%
MiniMax
$1,246 ปริมาณ
<1%
$4,324 ปริมาณ
<1%
Xiaomi
$657 ปริมาณ
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,690 ปริมาณ
<1%
Thinky
$560 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tencent
$571 ปริมาณ
<1%
Poolside
$641 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$789 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launch on September 3 has driven the 75% market-implied odds by immediately claiming the top Code Arena WebDev spot at 1,797 Elo points, 35 ahead of Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1. The crowdsourced leaderboard evaluates agentic frontend workflows, multi-step reasoning, and tool use on real tasks, where the new model’s gains in iterative coding and UI generation created a clear lead. Anthropic holds a secondary 25% position from prior Claude strengths, while Google’s Gemini variants, Alibaba’s Qwen, Moonshot’s Kimi, and others trail amid ongoing updates. With resolution at month-end, any late-September model drops or leaderboard shifts could still alter the ranking before final votes close.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$142,658วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launch on September 3 has driven the 75% market-implied odds by immediately claiming the top Code Arena WebDev spot at 1,797 Elo points, 35 ahead of Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1. The crowdsourced leaderboard evaluates agentic frontend workflows, multi-step reasoning, and tool use on real tasks, where the new model’s gains in iterative coding and UI generation created a clear lead. Anthropic holds a secondary 25% position from prior Claude strengths, while Google’s Gemini variants, Alibaba’s Qwen, Moonshot’s Kimi, and others trail amid ongoing updates. With resolution at month-end, any late-September model drops or leaderboard shifts could still alter the ranking before final votes close.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$142,658วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launch on September 3 has driven the 75% market-implied odds by immediately claiming the top Code Arena WebDev spot at 1,797 Elo points, 35 ahead of Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1. The crowdsourced leaderboard evaluates agentic frontend workflows, multi-step reasoning, and tool use on real tasks, where the new model’s gains in iterative coding and UI generation created a clear lead. Anthropic holds a secondary 25% position from prior Claude strengths, while Google’s Gemini variants, Alibaba’s Qwen, Moonshot’s Kimi, and others trail amid ongoing updates. With resolution at month-end, any late-September model drops or leaderboard shifts could still alter the ranking before final votes close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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