OpenAI’s September 5 release of GPT-6 Astra (Max) has driven the 78% market-implied probability that it will lead Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard at month-end. The model quickly posted a 1,797 score, establishing a 35-point gap over the nearest Anthropic entry and topping categories such as data analytics and consumer-product builds. Trader consensus reflects this demonstrated agentic performance in multi-step frontend workflows, while Anthropic’s 21% odds capture its still-competitive Claude variants. No subsequent model launches have narrowed the margin in the past two weeks, though any late-September update from either lab could alter final rankings before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOpenAI 78.5%
Anthropic 21%
Google <1%
Moonshot <1%
$148,872 ปริมาณ
$148,872 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI
79%
Anthropic
21%
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI 78.5%
Anthropic 21%
Google <1%
Moonshot <1%
$148,872 ปริมาณ
$148,872 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI
$29,045 ปริมาณ
79%
Anthropic
$61,821 ปริมาณ
21%
$6,343 ปริมาณ
<1%
Moonshot
$20,288 ปริมาณ
<1%
Z.ai
$4,801 ปริมาณ
<1%
SpaceXAI
$6,591 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meta
$3,137 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$1,134 ปริมาณ
<1%
Alibaba
$8,558 ปริมาณ
<1%
MiniMax
$1,246 ปริมาณ
<1%
Xiaomi
$657 ปริมาณ
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,690 ปริมาณ
<1%
Thinky
$560 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tencent
$571 ปริมาณ
<1%
Poolside
$641 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$789 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 5 release of GPT-6 Astra (Max) has driven the 78% market-implied probability that it will lead Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard at month-end. The model quickly posted a 1,797 score, establishing a 35-point gap over the nearest Anthropic entry and topping categories such as data analytics and consumer-product builds. Trader consensus reflects this demonstrated agentic performance in multi-step frontend workflows, while Anthropic’s 21% odds capture its still-competitive Claude variants. No subsequent model launches have narrowed the margin in the past two weeks, though any late-September update from either lab could alter final rankings before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$148,872วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 5 release of GPT-6 Astra (Max) has driven the 78% market-implied probability that it will lead Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard at month-end. The model quickly posted a 1,797 score, establishing a 35-point gap over the nearest Anthropic entry and topping categories such as data analytics and consumer-product builds. Trader consensus reflects this demonstrated agentic performance in multi-step frontend workflows, while Anthropic’s 21% odds capture its still-competitive Claude variants. No subsequent model launches have narrowed the margin in the past two weeks, though any late-September update from either lab could alter final rankings before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$148,872วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s September 5 release of GPT-6 Astra (Max) has driven the 78% market-implied probability that it will lead Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard at month-end. The model quickly posted a 1,797 score, establishing a 35-point gap over the nearest Anthropic entry and topping categories such as data analytics and consumer-product builds. Trader consensus reflects this demonstrated agentic performance in multi-step frontend workflows, while Anthropic’s 21% odds capture its still-competitive Claude variants. No subsequent model launches have narrowed the margin in the past two weeks, though any late-September update from either lab could alter final rankings before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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