Trader consensus reflects a 72.5% implied probability for "No" on U.S. enactment of an AI safety bill—requiring federal law with provisions like prohibitions on AI model creation/release, training restrictions, usage limits, or mandatory human-in-the-loop oversight—before December 31, 2026, due to persistent legislative gridlock in the 119th Congress. The Trump administration's March 20 National AI Legislative Framework prioritizes innovation, federal preemption of state laws, and light-touch oversight, sidelining stringent safety measures amid industry pushback and divided government dynamics. Recent narrow progress, including House Financial Services passage of the AI PLAN Act on May 13 addressing fraud risks and Senate Judiciary approval of the GUARD Act on child chatbot protections in late April, lacks qualifying provisions. With seven months left, states lead on AI regulation while federal action lags.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$98,173 ปริมาณ
$98,173 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$98,173 ปริมาณ
$98,173 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus reflects a 72.5% implied probability for "No" on U.S. enactment of an AI safety bill—requiring federal law with provisions like prohibitions on AI model creation/release, training restrictions, usage limits, or mandatory human-in-the-loop oversight—before December 31, 2026, due to persistent legislative gridlock in the 119th Congress. The Trump administration's March 20 National AI Legislative Framework prioritizes innovation, federal preemption of state laws, and light-touch oversight, sidelining stringent safety measures amid industry pushback and divided government dynamics. Recent narrow progress, including House Financial Services passage of the AI PLAN Act on May 13 addressing fraud risks and Senate Judiciary approval of the GUARD Act on child chatbot protections in late April, lacks qualifying provisions. With seven months left, states lead on AI regulation while federal action lags.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$98,173วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus reflects a 72.5% implied probability for "No" on U.S. enactment of an AI safety bill—requiring federal law with provisions like prohibitions on AI model creation/release, training restrictions, usage limits, or mandatory human-in-the-loop oversight—before December 31, 2026, due to persistent legislative gridlock in the 119th Congress. The Trump administration's March 20 National AI Legislative Framework prioritizes innovation, federal preemption of state laws, and light-touch oversight, sidelining stringent safety measures amid industry pushback and divided government dynamics. Recent narrow progress, including House Financial Services passage of the AI PLAN Act on May 13 addressing fraud risks and Senate Judiciary approval of the GUARD Act on child chatbot protections in late April, lacks qualifying provisions. With seven months left, states lead on AI regulation while federal action lags.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$98,173วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 72.5% implied probability for "No" on U.S. enactment of an AI safety bill—requiring federal law with provisions like prohibitions on AI model creation/release, training restrictions, usage limits, or mandatory human-in-the-loop oversight—before December 31, 2026, due to persistent legislative gridlock in the 119th Congress. The Trump administration's March 20 National AI Legislative Framework prioritizes innovation, federal preemption of state laws, and light-touch oversight, sidelining stringent safety measures amid industry pushback and divided government dynamics. Recent narrow progress, including House Financial Services passage of the AI PLAN Act on May 13 addressing fraud risks and Senate Judiciary approval of the GUARD Act on child chatbot protections in late April, lacks qualifying provisions. With seven months left, states lead on AI regulation while federal action lags.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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