**No federal AI safety legislation has advanced to enactment in the 119th Congress, despite multiple introduced bills addressing frontier model oversight, transparency, and risk mitigation.** Congressional activity remains limited to early-stage proposals and hearings, while state legislatures have enacted over 100 AI-related measures in 2026 focused on chatbots, deepfakes, and algorithmic accountability. The Trump administration has pursued executive actions, including EO 14365 on a national AI framework and CAISI evaluation partnerships with developers, emphasizing minimal regulatory burden and national security testing rather than statutory mandates. Recent July 2026 proposals, such as Sen. Warner’s Secure AI Development Act, have not progressed through committees. With roughly four months remaining before 2027 and competing legislative priorities, the timeline offers little room for passage of comprehensive safety requirements. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and political barriers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว13% โอกาส
$101,400 ปริมาณ
$101,400 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
13% โอกาส
$101,400 ปริมาณ
$101,400 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **No federal AI safety legislation has advanced to enactment in the 119th Congress, despite multiple introduced bills addressing frontier model oversight, transparency, and risk mitigation.** Congressional activity remains limited to early-stage proposals and hearings, while state legislatures have enacted over 100 AI-related measures in 2026 focused on chatbots, deepfakes, and algorithmic accountability. The Trump administration has pursued executive actions, including EO 14365 on a national AI framework and CAISI evaluation partnerships with developers, emphasizing minimal regulatory burden and national security testing rather than statutory mandates. Recent July 2026 proposals, such as Sen. Warner’s Secure AI Development Act, have not progressed through committees. With roughly four months remaining before 2027 and competing legislative priorities, the timeline offers little room for passage of comprehensive safety requirements. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and political barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$101,400วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **No federal AI safety legislation has advanced to enactment in the 119th Congress, despite multiple introduced bills addressing frontier model oversight, transparency, and risk mitigation.** Congressional activity remains limited to early-stage proposals and hearings, while state legislatures have enacted over 100 AI-related measures in 2026 focused on chatbots, deepfakes, and algorithmic accountability. The Trump administration has pursued executive actions, including EO 14365 on a national AI framework and CAISI evaluation partnerships with developers, emphasizing minimal regulatory burden and national security testing rather than statutory mandates. Recent July 2026 proposals, such as Sen. Warner’s Secure AI Development Act, have not progressed through committees. With roughly four months remaining before 2027 and competing legislative priorities, the timeline offers little room for passage of comprehensive safety requirements. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and political barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$101,400วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No federal AI safety legislation has advanced to enactment in the 119th Congress, despite multiple introduced bills addressing frontier model oversight, transparency, and risk mitigation.** Congressional activity remains limited to early-stage proposals and hearings, while state legislatures have enacted over 100 AI-related measures in 2026 focused on chatbots, deepfakes, and algorithmic accountability. The Trump administration has pursued executive actions, including EO 14365 on a national AI framework and CAISI evaluation partnerships with developers, emphasizing minimal regulatory burden and national security testing rather than statutory mandates. Recent July 2026 proposals, such as Sen. Warner’s Secure AI Development Act, have not progressed through committees. With roughly four months remaining before 2027 and competing legislative priorities, the timeline offers little room for passage of comprehensive safety requirements. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and political barriers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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