Recent polling for Colombia’s May 31 first round shows the leading candidate, Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact, holding roughly 30-35 percent support, with the remaining vote fragmented across right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia, plus centrist figures such as Sergio Fajardo and Claudia López. This distribution leaves no contender near the 50 percent threshold required for an outright victory under Colombia’s two-round system. Traders therefore assign a 94.5 percent probability to a runoff on June 21. Only an unexpected late consolidation of opposition votes or a sharp polling shift in the final two weeks could alter that outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
$47,000 ปริมาณ
$47,000 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
$47,000 ปริมาณ
$47,000 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling for Colombia’s May 31 first round shows the leading candidate, Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact, holding roughly 30-35 percent support, with the remaining vote fragmented across right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia, plus centrist figures such as Sergio Fajardo and Claudia López. This distribution leaves no contender near the 50 percent threshold required for an outright victory under Colombia’s two-round system. Traders therefore assign a 94.5 percent probability to a runoff on June 21. Only an unexpected late consolidation of opposition votes or a sharp polling shift in the final two weeks could alter that outlook.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
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$47,000วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling for Colombia’s May 31 first round shows the leading candidate, Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact, holding roughly 30-35 percent support, with the remaining vote fragmented across right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia, plus centrist figures such as Sergio Fajardo and Claudia López. This distribution leaves no contender near the 50 percent threshold required for an outright victory under Colombia’s two-round system. Traders therefore assign a 94.5 percent probability to a runoff on June 21. Only an unexpected late consolidation of opposition votes or a sharp polling shift in the final two weeks could alter that outlook.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,000วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Recent polling for Colombia’s May 31 first round shows the leading candidate, Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact, holding roughly 30-35 percent support, with the remaining vote fragmented across right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia, plus centrist figures such as Sergio Fajardo and Claudia López. This distribution leaves no contender near the 50 percent threshold required for an outright victory under Colombia’s two-round system. Traders therefore assign a 94.5 percent probability to a runoff on June 21. Only an unexpected late consolidation of opposition votes or a sharp polling shift in the final two weeks could alter that outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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