Recent crude oil prices near $80 per barrel, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Iran and supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, represent the dominant driver of U.S. gasoline prices. The national average retail price stands at approximately $4.07 per gallon as of mid-August 2026, reflecting summer driving demand and refinery utilization rates amid reduced capacity. Elevated inventories and steady domestic production provide some downward pressure, while futures curves price modest seasonal declines into September. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory reports, potential diplomatic developments affecting oil flows, and any shifts in OPEC+ output that could alter the crude-to-retail spread before month-end resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill gas hit __ by end of August?
Will gas hit __ by end of August?
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
↑ $5.00
4%
↑ $4.75
10%
↑ $4.50
12%
↑ $4.25
17%
↓ $3.90
19%
↓ $3.70
10%
↓ $3.50
4%
↓ $3.25
13%
↓ $3.00
4%
↓ $2.50
<1%
$9,200 ปริมาณ
↑ $5.00
$2,364 ปริมาณ
4%
↑ $4.75
$297 ปริมาณ
10%
↑ $4.50
$2,105 ปริมาณ
12%
↑ $4.25
$1,585 ปริมาณ
17%
↓ $3.90
$487 ปริมาณ
19%
↓ $3.70
$1,502 ปริมาณ
10%
↓ $3.50
$155 ปริมาณ
4%
↓ $3.25
$333 ปริมาณ
13%
↓ $3.00
$133 ปริมาณ
4%
↓ $2.50
$239 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent crude oil prices near $80 per barrel, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Iran and supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, represent the dominant driver of U.S. gasoline prices. The national average retail price stands at approximately $4.07 per gallon as of mid-August 2026, reflecting summer driving demand and refinery utilization rates amid reduced capacity. Elevated inventories and steady domestic production provide some downward pressure, while futures curves price modest seasonal declines into September. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory reports, potential diplomatic developments affecting oil flows, and any shifts in OPEC+ output that could alter the crude-to-retail spread before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,200วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent crude oil prices near $80 per barrel, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Iran and supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, represent the dominant driver of U.S. gasoline prices. The national average retail price stands at approximately $4.07 per gallon as of mid-August 2026, reflecting summer driving demand and refinery utilization rates amid reduced capacity. Elevated inventories and steady domestic production provide some downward pressure, while futures curves price modest seasonal declines into September. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory reports, potential diplomatic developments affecting oil flows, and any shifts in OPEC+ output that could alter the crude-to-retail spread before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,200วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent crude oil prices near $80 per barrel, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Iran and supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, represent the dominant driver of U.S. gasoline prices. The national average retail price stands at approximately $4.07 per gallon as of mid-August 2026, reflecting summer driving demand and refinery utilization rates amid reduced capacity. Elevated inventories and steady domestic production provide some downward pressure, while futures curves price modest seasonal declines into September. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory reports, potential diplomatic developments affecting oil flows, and any shifts in OPEC+ output that could alter the crude-to-retail spread before month-end resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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