Traders assign a 78.5% probability against a UN Security Council resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by December 31 because the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding launched only a 60-day (extendable) negotiation window on sanctions relief, nuclear limits, and related issues after the 2026 conflict. As of mid-August, those technical talks in Switzerland have not produced an agreed final accord despite initial steps on the Strait of Hormuz and ceasefire terms. Achieving a comprehensive package would still require alignment among P5 members on a binding UNSC resolution, amid lingering disputes over enrichment, missiles, proxies, and verification. No subsequent diplomatic breakthroughs or Council action have been confirmed since the MOU, leaving the timeline for full endorsement before year-end uncertain.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
22% โอกาส
$161,311 ปริมาณ
$161,311 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
22% โอกาส
$161,311 ปริมาณ
$161,311 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Traders assign a 78.5% probability against a UN Security Council resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by December 31 because the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding launched only a 60-day (extendable) negotiation window on sanctions relief, nuclear limits, and related issues after the 2026 conflict. As of mid-August, those technical talks in Switzerland have not produced an agreed final accord despite initial steps on the Strait of Hormuz and ceasefire terms. Achieving a comprehensive package would still require alignment among P5 members on a binding UNSC resolution, amid lingering disputes over enrichment, missiles, proxies, and verification. No subsequent diplomatic breakthroughs or Council action have been confirmed since the MOU, leaving the timeline for full endorsement before year-end uncertain.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$161,311วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Traders assign a 78.5% probability against a UN Security Council resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by December 31 because the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding launched only a 60-day (extendable) negotiation window on sanctions relief, nuclear limits, and related issues after the 2026 conflict. As of mid-August, those technical talks in Switzerland have not produced an agreed final accord despite initial steps on the Strait of Hormuz and ceasefire terms. Achieving a comprehensive package would still require alignment among P5 members on a binding UNSC resolution, amid lingering disputes over enrichment, missiles, proxies, and verification. No subsequent diplomatic breakthroughs or Council action have been confirmed since the MOU, leaving the timeline for full endorsement before year-end uncertain.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$161,311วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 78.5% probability against a UN Security Council resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by December 31 because the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding launched only a 60-day (extendable) negotiation window on sanctions relief, nuclear limits, and related issues after the 2026 conflict. As of mid-August, those technical talks in Switzerland have not produced an agreed final accord despite initial steps on the Strait of Hormuz and ceasefire terms. Achieving a comprehensive package would still require alignment among P5 members on a binding UNSC resolution, amid lingering disputes over enrichment, missiles, proxies, and verification. No subsequent diplomatic breakthroughs or Council action have been confirmed since the MOU, leaving the timeline for full endorsement before year-end uncertain.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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