Ongoing U.S.-Iran hostilities, including a collapsed June 2026 ceasefire and memorandum of understanding, have kept formal diplomatic relations frozen since 1979. Renewed military strikes, disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, and sanctions relief have sustained elevated tensions through September, with the State Department maintaining Level 4 travel advisories and operating only a virtual embassy. Switzerland continues to serve as protecting power, while visa processing occurs via third countries. These conditions, reinforced by repeated negotiation breakdowns and active regional conflict, underpin trader consensus against any embassy reopening this year. A rapid shift toward full normalization before December 31 would require verifiable de-escalation and bilateral agreement on core disputes, outcomes viewed as improbable under present circumstances.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
5% โอกาส
$159,455 ปริมาณ
$159,455 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
5% โอกาส
$159,455 ปริมาณ
$159,455 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing U.S.-Iran hostilities, including a collapsed June 2026 ceasefire and memorandum of understanding, have kept formal diplomatic relations frozen since 1979. Renewed military strikes, disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, and sanctions relief have sustained elevated tensions through September, with the State Department maintaining Level 4 travel advisories and operating only a virtual embassy. Switzerland continues to serve as protecting power, while visa processing occurs via third countries. These conditions, reinforced by repeated negotiation breakdowns and active regional conflict, underpin trader consensus against any embassy reopening this year. A rapid shift toward full normalization before December 31 would require verifiable de-escalation and bilateral agreement on core disputes, outcomes viewed as improbable under present circumstances.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$159,455วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing U.S.-Iran hostilities, including a collapsed June 2026 ceasefire and memorandum of understanding, have kept formal diplomatic relations frozen since 1979. Renewed military strikes, disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, and sanctions relief have sustained elevated tensions through September, with the State Department maintaining Level 4 travel advisories and operating only a virtual embassy. Switzerland continues to serve as protecting power, while visa processing occurs via third countries. These conditions, reinforced by repeated negotiation breakdowns and active regional conflict, underpin trader consensus against any embassy reopening this year. A rapid shift toward full normalization before December 31 would require verifiable de-escalation and bilateral agreement on core disputes, outcomes viewed as improbable under present circumstances.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$159,455วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Iran hostilities, including a collapsed June 2026 ceasefire and memorandum of understanding, have kept formal diplomatic relations frozen since 1979. Renewed military strikes, disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, and sanctions relief have sustained elevated tensions through September, with the State Department maintaining Level 4 travel advisories and operating only a virtual embassy. Switzerland continues to serve as protecting power, while visa processing occurs via third countries. These conditions, reinforced by repeated negotiation breakdowns and active regional conflict, underpin trader consensus against any embassy reopening this year. A rapid shift toward full normalization before December 31 would require verifiable de-escalation and bilateral agreement on core disputes, outcomes viewed as improbable under present circumstances.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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