Houthis seized Perim Island (Mayun) on September 11, 2026, during a rapid offensive that also captured Mocha, Dhubab, and nearby Red Sea islands, completing their control of Yemen’s western coast and the Bab al-Mandeb Strait. Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces withdrew with minimal resistance, handing the Iran-aligned group a physical outpost that splits the narrow shipping channel. This development occurred amid broader regional tensions, including disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, and has already reduced vessel traffic through the strait. Reversing Houthi control would require a coordinated counteroffensive, potentially involving amphibious operations or external support, though analysts note the island’s defensibility challenges and limited immediate U.S. or Saudi appetite for direct intervention. Trader assessments of any near-term shift hinge on military consolidation, diplomatic pressure, or escalation in the Yemen conflict.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
4%
October 31
15%
December 31
26%
$8,963 ปริมาณ
September 30
$1,730 ปริมาณ
4%
October 31
$4,052 ปริมาณ
15%
December 31
$3,181 ปริมาณ
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthis seized Perim Island (Mayun) on September 11, 2026, during a rapid offensive that also captured Mocha, Dhubab, and nearby Red Sea islands, completing their control of Yemen’s western coast and the Bab al-Mandeb Strait. Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces withdrew with minimal resistance, handing the Iran-aligned group a physical outpost that splits the narrow shipping channel. This development occurred amid broader regional tensions, including disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, and has already reduced vessel traffic through the strait. Reversing Houthi control would require a coordinated counteroffensive, potentially involving amphibious operations or external support, though analysts note the island’s defensibility challenges and limited immediate U.S. or Saudi appetite for direct intervention. Trader assessments of any near-term shift hinge on military consolidation, diplomatic pressure, or escalation in the Yemen conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,963วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthis seized Perim Island (Mayun) on September 11, 2026, during a rapid offensive that also captured Mocha, Dhubab, and nearby Red Sea islands, completing their control of Yemen’s western coast and the Bab al-Mandeb Strait. Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces withdrew with minimal resistance, handing the Iran-aligned group a physical outpost that splits the narrow shipping channel. This development occurred amid broader regional tensions, including disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, and has already reduced vessel traffic through the strait. Reversing Houthi control would require a coordinated counteroffensive, potentially involving amphibious operations or external support, though analysts note the island’s defensibility challenges and limited immediate U.S. or Saudi appetite for direct intervention. Trader assessments of any near-term shift hinge on military consolidation, diplomatic pressure, or escalation in the Yemen conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,963วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Houthis seized Perim Island (Mayun) on September 11, 2026, during a rapid offensive that also captured Mocha, Dhubab, and nearby Red Sea islands, completing their control of Yemen’s western coast and the Bab al-Mandeb Strait. Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces withdrew with minimal resistance, handing the Iran-aligned group a physical outpost that splits the narrow shipping channel. This development occurred amid broader regional tensions, including disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, and has already reduced vessel traffic through the strait. Reversing Houthi control would require a coordinated counteroffensive, potentially involving amphibious operations or external support, though analysts note the island’s defensibility challenges and limited immediate U.S. or Saudi appetite for direct intervention. Trader assessments of any near-term shift hinge on military consolidation, diplomatic pressure, or escalation in the Yemen conflict.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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