Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to no Trump-Putin in-person meeting by December 31, 2026, reflecting stalled Ukraine peace efforts and the absence of scheduled summits since the August 2025 Alaska encounter. Phone contacts continued into mid-2026 without advancing to a face-to-face format, while recent White House statements ruled out immediate plans. China leads alternative venues due to established bilateral patterns between the leaders and its role in parallel diplomatic channels, though no confirmed 2026 itinerary exists. Lower-probability options such as Russia or neutral European sites face structural barriers from ongoing conflict dynamics and scheduling constraints. The market pricing embeds uncertainty around whether renewed negotiations could produce a late-year summit before the resolution deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 59%
China 38%
Russia 1.1%
Gulf country <1%
$599,839 ปริมาณ
$599,839 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
No meeting by December 31
59%
China
38%
Russia
1%
Gulf country
1%
Other
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Turkey
<1%
United States
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Finland
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 59%
China 38%
Russia 1.1%
Gulf country <1%
$599,839 ปริมาณ
$599,839 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
No meeting by December 31
$128,749 ปริมาณ
59%
China
$73,824 ปริมาณ
38%
Russia
$71,316 ปริมาณ
1%
Gulf country
$21,056 ปริมาณ
1%
Other
$22,799 ปริมาณ
1%
Switzerland
$24,487 ปริมาณ
<1%
Turkey
$29,267 ปริมาณ
<1%
United States
$31,141 ปริมาณ
<1%
Belarus
$27,062 ปริมาณ
<1%
Finland
$25,085 ปริมาณ
<1%
Other EU country
$20,573 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ukraine
$20,430 ปริมาณ
<1%
Japan
$27,167 ปริมาณ
<1%
South Korea
$35,619 ปริมาณ
<1%
Australia
$41,264 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to no Trump-Putin in-person meeting by December 31, 2026, reflecting stalled Ukraine peace efforts and the absence of scheduled summits since the August 2025 Alaska encounter. Phone contacts continued into mid-2026 without advancing to a face-to-face format, while recent White House statements ruled out immediate plans. China leads alternative venues due to established bilateral patterns between the leaders and its role in parallel diplomatic channels, though no confirmed 2026 itinerary exists. Lower-probability options such as Russia or neutral European sites face structural barriers from ongoing conflict dynamics and scheduling constraints. The market pricing embeds uncertainty around whether renewed negotiations could produce a late-year summit before the resolution deadline.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$599,839วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to no Trump-Putin in-person meeting by December 31, 2026, reflecting stalled Ukraine peace efforts and the absence of scheduled summits since the August 2025 Alaska encounter. Phone contacts continued into mid-2026 without advancing to a face-to-face format, while recent White House statements ruled out immediate plans. China leads alternative venues due to established bilateral patterns between the leaders and its role in parallel diplomatic channels, though no confirmed 2026 itinerary exists. Lower-probability options such as Russia or neutral European sites face structural barriers from ongoing conflict dynamics and scheduling constraints. The market pricing embeds uncertainty around whether renewed negotiations could produce a late-year summit before the resolution deadline.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$599,839วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to no Trump-Putin in-person meeting by December 31, 2026, reflecting stalled Ukraine peace efforts and the absence of scheduled summits since the August 2025 Alaska encounter. Phone contacts continued into mid-2026 without advancing to a face-to-face format, while recent White House statements ruled out immediate plans. China leads alternative venues due to established bilateral patterns between the leaders and its role in parallel diplomatic channels, though no confirmed 2026 itinerary exists. Lower-probability options such as Russia or neutral European sites face structural barriers from ongoing conflict dynamics and scheduling constraints. The market pricing embeds uncertainty around whether renewed negotiations could produce a late-year summit before the resolution deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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