North Korea conducted three ballistic missile test events in August 2026, on the 6th, 12th, and 20th, with the latest involving a salvo of roughly ten short-range systems from the Pyongyang area amid scaled-back U.S.-South Korea Ulchi Freedom Shield drills and U.S. diplomatic overtures to Kim Jong Un. These launches followed a prior lull since June and aligned with Pyongyang’s pattern of signaling during allied exercises, yet no further tests have occurred in the final week of the month. Trader consensus at 91.5% for fewer than four total events reflects the limited remaining calendar time and absence of new triggers. Additional launches before August 31 could still occur in response to diplomatic statements, military activities, or internal timing decisions, though such escalation remains the primary variable that might shift the distribution toward four or more.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
<4 92%
4 5.3%
5 1.5%
6+ <1%
$41,186 ปริมาณ
$41,186 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
<4
92%
4
5%
5
2%
6+
1%
<4 92%
4 5.3%
5 1.5%
6+ <1%
$41,186 ปริมาณ
$41,186 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
<4
$12,851 ปริมาณ
92%
4
$2,621 ปริมาณ
5%
5
$7,721 ปริมาณ
2%
6+
$17,994 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea conducted three ballistic missile test events in August 2026, on the 6th, 12th, and 20th, with the latest involving a salvo of roughly ten short-range systems from the Pyongyang area amid scaled-back U.S.-South Korea Ulchi Freedom Shield drills and U.S. diplomatic overtures to Kim Jong Un. These launches followed a prior lull since June and aligned with Pyongyang’s pattern of signaling during allied exercises, yet no further tests have occurred in the final week of the month. Trader consensus at 91.5% for fewer than four total events reflects the limited remaining calendar time and absence of new triggers. Additional launches before August 31 could still occur in response to diplomatic statements, military activities, or internal timing decisions, though such escalation remains the primary variable that might shift the distribution toward four or more.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,186วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea conducted three ballistic missile test events in August 2026, on the 6th, 12th, and 20th, with the latest involving a salvo of roughly ten short-range systems from the Pyongyang area amid scaled-back U.S.-South Korea Ulchi Freedom Shield drills and U.S. diplomatic overtures to Kim Jong Un. These launches followed a prior lull since June and aligned with Pyongyang’s pattern of signaling during allied exercises, yet no further tests have occurred in the final week of the month. Trader consensus at 91.5% for fewer than four total events reflects the limited remaining calendar time and absence of new triggers. Additional launches before August 31 could still occur in response to diplomatic statements, military activities, or internal timing decisions, though such escalation remains the primary variable that might shift the distribution toward four or more.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,186วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...North Korea conducted three ballistic missile test events in August 2026, on the 6th, 12th, and 20th, with the latest involving a salvo of roughly ten short-range systems from the Pyongyang area amid scaled-back U.S.-South Korea Ulchi Freedom Shield drills and U.S. diplomatic overtures to Kim Jong Un. These launches followed a prior lull since June and aligned with Pyongyang’s pattern of signaling during allied exercises, yet no further tests have occurred in the final week of the month. Trader consensus at 91.5% for fewer than four total events reflects the limited remaining calendar time and absence of new triggers. Additional launches before August 31 could still occur in response to diplomatic statements, military activities, or internal timing decisions, though such escalation remains the primary variable that might shift the distribution toward four or more.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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