Midterm opposition dynamics and a documented Democratic enthusiasm advantage are anchoring trader expectations for 2026 House turnout near 120 million votes. Primary and special-election data through mid-2026 show Democratic participation rising sharply compared with 2022 levels, even in Republican-leaning districts, while Republican turnout lags. Expanded mail and early voting options, combined with a growing pool of younger eligible voters, have lifted the structural floor above older midterm baselines. At the same time, uncertainties around GOP base mobilization, economic conditions, and the final weeks of campaigning keep the probability mass tightly distributed across the 115–130 million range, with no single bucket exceeding 25 percent.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update120-125m 25%
115-120m 19%
125-130m 15%
110-115m 13%
$24,156 Vol.
$24,156 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
2%
95-100m
4%
100-105m
4%
105-110m
8%
110-115m
13%
115-120m
19%
120-125m
25%
125-130m
15%
130m+
12%
120-125m 25%
115-120m 19%
125-130m 15%
110-115m 13%
$24,156 Vol.
$24,156 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
$597 Vol.
1%
85-90m
$599 Vol.
<1%
90-95m
$1,723 Vol.
2%
95-100m
$380 Vol.
4%
100-105m
$1,099 Vol.
4%
105-110m
$931 Vol.
8%
110-115m
$4,259 Vol.
13%
115-120m
$3,988 Vol.
19%
120-125m
$7,221 Vol.
25%
125-130m
$2,517 Vol.
15%
130m+
$844 Vol.
12%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Midterm opposition dynamics and a documented Democratic enthusiasm advantage are anchoring trader expectations for 2026 House turnout near 120 million votes. Primary and special-election data through mid-2026 show Democratic participation rising sharply compared with 2022 levels, even in Republican-leaning districts, while Republican turnout lags. Expanded mail and early voting options, combined with a growing pool of younger eligible voters, have lifted the structural floor above older midterm baselines. At the same time, uncertainties around GOP base mobilization, economic conditions, and the final weeks of campaigning keep the probability mass tightly distributed across the 115–130 million range, with no single bucket exceeding 25 percent.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$24,156Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Midterm opposition dynamics and a documented Democratic enthusiasm advantage are anchoring trader expectations for 2026 House turnout near 120 million votes. Primary and special-election data through mid-2026 show Democratic participation rising sharply compared with 2022 levels, even in Republican-leaning districts, while Republican turnout lags. Expanded mail and early voting options, combined with a growing pool of younger eligible voters, have lifted the structural floor above older midterm baselines. At the same time, uncertainties around GOP base mobilization, economic conditions, and the final weeks of campaigning keep the probability mass tightly distributed across the 115–130 million range, with no single bucket exceeding 25 percent.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$24,156Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Midterm opposition dynamics and a documented Democratic enthusiasm advantage are anchoring trader expectations for 2026 House turnout near 120 million votes. Primary and special-election data through mid-2026 show Democratic participation rising sharply compared with 2022 levels, even in Republican-leaning districts, while Republican turnout lags. Expanded mail and early voting options, combined with a growing pool of younger eligible voters, have lifted the structural floor above older midterm baselines. At the same time, uncertainties around GOP base mobilization, economic conditions, and the final weeks of campaigning keep the probability mass tightly distributed across the 115–130 million range, with no single bucket exceeding 25 percent.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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