Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton seeks a third term in the solidly Republican state of Arkansas, facing Democrat Hallie Shoffner in the November 3, 2026 general election. Cotton secured his party's nomination with over 81 percent in the March primary, while Shoffner prevailed in hers with nearly 78 percent. Recent polling shows Cotton holding double-digit leads in most surveys, consistent with the state's voting patterns and historical margins for Republican Senate candidates. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican. Trader consensus reflects Arkansas's partisan composition and the absence of major disruptions, though late developments such as national political shifts or unforeseen candidate issues could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateArkansas Senate Election Winner
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
$13,754 Vol.
$13,754 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
94%
Democrat
4%
$13,754 Vol.
$13,754 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$9,987 Vol.
94%
Democrat
$3,767 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton seeks a third term in the solidly Republican state of Arkansas, facing Democrat Hallie Shoffner in the November 3, 2026 general election. Cotton secured his party's nomination with over 81 percent in the March primary, while Shoffner prevailed in hers with nearly 78 percent. Recent polling shows Cotton holding double-digit leads in most surveys, consistent with the state's voting patterns and historical margins for Republican Senate candidates. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican. Trader consensus reflects Arkansas's partisan composition and the absence of major disruptions, though late developments such as national political shifts or unforeseen candidate issues could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$13,754Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton seeks a third term in the solidly Republican state of Arkansas, facing Democrat Hallie Shoffner in the November 3, 2026 general election. Cotton secured his party's nomination with over 81 percent in the March primary, while Shoffner prevailed in hers with nearly 78 percent. Recent polling shows Cotton holding double-digit leads in most surveys, consistent with the state's voting patterns and historical margins for Republican Senate candidates. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican. Trader consensus reflects Arkansas's partisan composition and the absence of major disruptions, though late developments such as national political shifts or unforeseen candidate issues could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$13,754Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton seeks a third term in the solidly Republican state of Arkansas, facing Democrat Hallie Shoffner in the November 3, 2026 general election. Cotton secured his party's nomination with over 81 percent in the March primary, while Shoffner prevailed in hers with nearly 78 percent. Recent polling shows Cotton holding double-digit leads in most surveys, consistent with the state's voting patterns and historical margins for Republican Senate candidates. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican. Trader consensus reflects Arkansas's partisan composition and the absence of major disruptions, though late developments such as national political shifts or unforeseen candidate issues could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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