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icon for California Governor Primary Election: First Place
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

icon for California Governor Primary Election: First Place
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

Xavier Becerra 47%

Tom Steyer 25%

Steve Hilton 23%

Chad Bianco 3.1%

Polymarket

$27,901 Vol.

Xavier Becerra 47%

Tom Steyer 25%

Steve Hilton 23%

Chad Bianco 3.1%

Polymarket

$27,901 Vol.

Xavier Becerra

$7,632 Vol.

47%

Tom Steyer

$4,763 Vol.

25%

Steve Hilton

$3,637 Vol.

23%

Chad Bianco

$1,124 Vol.

3%

Matt Mahan

$1,835 Vol.

2%

Katie Porter

$1,177 Vol.

2%

Derek Grasty

$761 Vol.

1%

Daniel Mercuri

$640 Vol.

1%

Raji Rab

$682 Vol.

1%

Elaine Culotti

$551 Vol.

1%

Thunder Parley

$505 Vol.

<1%

Nicki Minaj

$738 Vol.

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$629 Vol.

<1%

Betty Yee

$658 Vol.

<1%

Carolina Buhler

$615 Vol.

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$605 Vol.

<1%

Leo Zacky

$682 Vol.

<1%

Ramsey Robinson

$666 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra holds the lead in California’s June 2 primary for governor because recent Emerson and other surveys show him pulling ahead of a fragmented Democratic field after former representative Eric Swalwell exited the race. The top-two primary system advances the two highest vote-getters regardless of party, so the split among Democrats like Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, and Matt Mahan has kept Republican support for Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco competitive yet below the threshold needed to displace Becerra. A final debate days before the primary drew attacks on Becerra’s record as former attorney general and health secretary, yet he maintained his position as the clearest Democratic consolidator. Mail ballots already distributed and late endorsements have reinforced trader expectations that Becerra will finish first, while Steyer and Hilton trail as the next most likely to advance.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$27,901
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra holds the lead in California’s June 2 primary for governor because recent Emerson and other surveys show him pulling ahead of a fragmented Democratic field after former representative Eric Swalwell exited the race. The top-two primary system advances the two highest vote-getters regardless of party, so the split among Democrats like Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, and Matt Mahan has kept Republican support for Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco competitive yet below the threshold needed to displace Becerra. A final debate days before the primary drew attacks on Becerra’s record as former attorney general and health secretary, yet he maintained his position as the clearest Democratic consolidator. Mail ballots already distributed and late endorsements have reinforced trader expectations that Becerra will finish first, while Steyer and Hilton trail as the next most likely to advance.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$27,901
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 18 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Xavier Becerra" sa 47%, sinusundan ng "Tom Steyer" sa 25%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 47¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 47% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" ay naka-generate ng $27.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 16, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "California Governor Primary Election: First Place," i-browse ang 18 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" ay "Xavier Becerra" sa 47%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 47% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Tom Steyer" sa 25%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.