Skip to main content
icon for AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner

AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner

AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner

Brian Hualde 45%

Blake Bracht 45%

Chris James 44%

Elizabeth Lee 44%

Polymarket
BAGO

Brian Hualde 45%

Blake Bracht 45%

Chris James 44%

Elizabeth Lee 44%

Polymarket
BAGO

Brian Hualde

$0 Vol.

45%

Blake Bracht

$0 Vol.

45%

Chris James

$0 Vol.

44%

Elizabeth Lee

$0 Vol.

44%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Arizona 5th congressional district Democratic primary on July 21 features a fragmented field of candidates including Brian Hualde, Chris James, Elizabeth Lee, Blake Bracht, and others, with no incumbent or dominant frontrunner. A June 4 debate and subsequent candidate forum highlighted similar priorities around healthcare, education, and economic issues without producing decisive shifts in visibility or support. Limited public polling, modest fundraising totals across the board, and the open nature of the seat have kept probabilities tightly clustered near even odds. Further endorsements from state party figures, release of campaign finance reports, or late media attention could consolidate support ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 21, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Arizona 5th congressional district Democratic primary on July 21 features a fragmented field of candidates including Brian Hualde, Chris James, Elizabeth Lee, Blake Bracht, and others, with no incumbent or dominant frontrunner. A June 4 debate and subsequent candidate forum highlighted similar priorities around healthcare, education, and economic issues without producing decisive shifts in visibility or support. Limited public polling, modest fundraising totals across the board, and the open nature of the seat have kept probabilities tightly clustered near even odds. Further endorsements from state party figures, release of campaign finance reports, or late media attention could consolidate support ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 21, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Brian Hualde" sa 46%, sinusundan ng "Blake Bracht" sa 46%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 46¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 46% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jul 1, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Brian Hualde" sa 46%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 46% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Blake Bracht" sa 46%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.