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Politics·July 28 Primaries

South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

icon for South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
Politics·July 28 Primaries

South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Rhoden 20%+ 44%

Rhoden 15–20% 44%

Rhoden 10–15% 44%

Rhoden <5% 44%

Polymarket
BAGO

Rhoden 20%+ 44%

Rhoden 15–20% 44%

Rhoden 10–15% 44%

Rhoden <5% 44%

Polymarket
BAGO

Rhoden 20%+

$0 Vol.

44%

Rhoden 15–20%

$0 Vol.

44%

Rhoden 10–15%

$0 Vol.

44%

Rhoden 5–10%

$0 Vol.

44%

Rhoden <5%

$0 Vol.

44%

Doeden <5%

$0 Vol.

44%

Doeden 5–10%

$0 Vol.

44%

Doeden 10–15%

$0 Vol.

44%

Doeden 15–20%

$0 Vol.

44%

Doeden 20%+

$0 Vol.

44%

The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff on July 28 pits incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden against primary leader Toby Doeden after neither reached the 35% threshold needed to win outright on June 2, when Doeden took 30.6% and Rhoden 25.2%. Traders see a tight contest because both candidates must consolidate support from backers of eliminated contenders Dusty Johnson and Jon Hansen, whose combined share exceeded 44%. Regional divides, Doeden’s outsider messaging versus Rhoden’s institutional experience, and limited remaining campaign time sustain uncertainty over the final margin. Recent statements on debates and endorsements from primary also-rans could shift voter blocs in the final weeks, keeping all victory-margin brackets competitive in the eyes of the market.

The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff on July 28 pits incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden against primary leader Toby Doeden after neither reached the 35% threshold needed to win outright on June 2, when Doeden took 30.6% and Rhoden 25.2%. Traders see a tight contest because both candidates must consolidate support from backers of eliminated contenders Dusty Johnson and Jon Hansen, whose combined share exceeded 44%. Regional divides, Doeden’s outsider messaging versus Rhoden’s institutional experience, and limited remaining campaign time sustain uncertainty over the final margin. Recent statements on debates and endorsements from primary also-rans could shift voter blocs in the final weeks, keeping all victory-margin brackets competitive in the eyes of the market.

The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Ang "South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Rhoden 20%+" sa 45%, sinusundan ng "Rhoden 15–20%" sa 45%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 45¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 45% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jul 1, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" ay "Rhoden 20%+" sa 45%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 45% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Rhoden 15–20%" sa 45%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.