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Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Halalan sa Pagkapangulo ng Colombia

icon for Halalan sa Pagkapangulo ng Colombia
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Halalan sa Pagkapangulo ng Colombia

Abelardo de la Espriella 44%

Iván Cepeda Castro 43%

Paloma Valencia 13.4%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB) <1%

Polymarket

$29,265,474 Vol.

Abelardo de la Espriella 44%

Iván Cepeda Castro 43%

Paloma Valencia 13.4%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB) <1%

Polymarket

$29,265,474 Vol.

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$1,163,748 Vol.

44%

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$1,011,391 Vol.

43%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$1,217,750 Vol.

13%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

$1,794,198 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo (DC)

Sergio Fajardo (DC)

$1,745,662 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$1,150,589 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Felipe Córdoba

Carlos Felipe Córdoba

$627,368 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vicky Dávila (IND)

Vicky Dávila (IND)

$2,857,367 Vol.

<1%

icon for Claudia López (IND)

Claudia López (IND)

$1,158,914 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez (IND)

David Luna Sánchez (IND)

$1,819,055 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

$1,518,487 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar (HC)

Gustavo Bolívar (HC)

$5,762,070 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán (NL)

Juan Manuel Galán (NL)

$708,114 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)

Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)

$1,782,319 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$2,493,805 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$694,239 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$1,305,568 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$430,214 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote features a tight three-way contest among leading contenders, with Candidate M, Abelardo de la Espriella of the National Salvation Movement, and Iván Cepeda Castro of the Historic Pact trading near the front in trader pricing. Cepeda's emphasis on continuing the current administration's social policies and peace process appeals to core left-leaning voters, while de la Espriella's outsider platform stressing military action against armed groups and drug trafficking draws strong support from the right. Recent killings of two de la Espriella campaign workers in the southeast have underscored security concerns and heightened polarization. A fragmented center, including Paloma Valencia, limits any single candidate's path to an outright majority, keeping runoff prospects open and sustaining narrow margins until the vote.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$29,265,474
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 21, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote features a tight three-way contest among leading contenders, with Candidate M, Abelardo de la Espriella of the National Salvation Movement, and Iván Cepeda Castro of the Historic Pact trading near the front in trader pricing. Cepeda's emphasis on continuing the current administration's social policies and peace process appeals to core left-leaning voters, while de la Espriella's outsider platform stressing military action against armed groups and drug trafficking draws strong support from the right. Recent killings of two de la Espriella campaign workers in the southeast have underscored security concerns and heightened polarization. A fragmented center, including Paloma Valencia, limits any single candidate's path to an outright majority, keeping runoff prospects open and sustaining narrow margins until the vote.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$29,265,474
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 21, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Halalan sa Pagkapangulo ng Colombia" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 19 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Abelardo de la Espriella" sa 44%, sinusundan ng "Iván Cepeda Castro" sa 43%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 44¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 44% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Halalan sa Pagkapangulo ng Colombia" ay naka-generate ng $29.3 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 29, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Halalan sa Pagkapangulo ng Colombia," i-browse ang 19 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Halalan sa Pagkapangulo ng Colombia" ay "Abelardo de la Espriella" sa 44%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 44% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Iván Cepeda Castro" sa 43%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Halalan sa Pagkapangulo ng Colombia" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.