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Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

icon for Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

May 15

May 15

24% tsansa
Polymarket

$743,030 Vol.

24% tsansa
Polymarket

$743,030 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus implies a 75.5% probability of no confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 15, driven by the extreme rarity of hantavirus pulmonary syndrome (HPS), with CDC data showing only 890 laboratory-confirmed cases nationwide since 1993 surveillance began—averaging 20-40 annually, mostly from Sin Nombre virus via deer mouse exposure in the Southwest. Despite a multi-country Andes virus cluster linked to a cruise ship reported May 2 (eight cases including three deaths abroad as of May 8), no US cases have been lab-confirmed from exposures, with 12 states monitoring ~40 asymptomatic repatriated passengers and contacts as of May 13 per CDC guidance. Heightened surveillance reduces underreporting risk, but short two-day window to resolution and stable epidemiological baselines favor no new confirmations. CDC updates expected soon could shift sentiment.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$743,030
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus implies a 75.5% probability of no confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 15, driven by the extreme rarity of hantavirus pulmonary syndrome (HPS), with CDC data showing only 890 laboratory-confirmed cases nationwide since 1993 surveillance began—averaging 20-40 annually, mostly from Sin Nombre virus via deer mouse exposure in the Southwest. Despite a multi-country Andes virus cluster linked to a cruise ship reported May 2 (eight cases including three deaths abroad as of May 8), no US cases have been lab-confirmed from exposures, with 12 states monitoring ~40 asymptomatic repatriated passengers and contacts as of May 13 per CDC guidance. Heightened surveillance reduces underreporting risk, but short two-day window to resolution and stable epidemiological baselines favor no new confirmations. CDC updates expected soon could shift sentiment.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$743,030
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 24% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 24¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 24% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?" ay naka-generate ng $743K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong May 7, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?" ay 24% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 24% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.