The strong Democratic lean of Connecticut's 4th congressional district, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins the market's heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Jim Himes, seeking an eighth term, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 filing deadline and faces Republican primary contenders without established statewide profiles. Recent national generic ballot polling showing a modest Democratic edge aligns with the district's consistent voting patterns in prior cycles, where the party has secured comfortable margins. A late national Republican surge or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for similar safe seats indicate limited room for such shifts before November 3.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCT-04 House Election Winner
CT-04 House Election Winner
$31,182 Vol.
$31,182 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
5%
$31,182 Vol.
$31,182 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,407 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$17,775 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Connecticut's 4th congressional district, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins the market's heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Jim Himes, seeking an eighth term, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 filing deadline and faces Republican primary contenders without established statewide profiles. Recent national generic ballot polling showing a modest Democratic edge aligns with the district's consistent voting patterns in prior cycles, where the party has secured comfortable margins. A late national Republican surge or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for similar safe seats indicate limited room for such shifts before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$31,182Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Connecticut's 4th congressional district, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins the market's heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Jim Himes, seeking an eighth term, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 filing deadline and faces Republican primary contenders without established statewide profiles. Recent national generic ballot polling showing a modest Democratic edge aligns with the district's consistent voting patterns in prior cycles, where the party has secured comfortable margins. A late national Republican surge or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for similar safe seats indicate limited room for such shifts before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,182Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Connecticut's 4th congressional district, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins the market's heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Jim Himes, seeking an eighth term, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 filing deadline and faces Republican primary contenders without established statewide profiles. Recent national generic ballot polling showing a modest Democratic edge aligns with the district's consistent voting patterns in prior cycles, where the party has secured comfortable margins. A late national Republican surge or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for similar safe seats indicate limited room for such shifts before November 3.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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