Skip to main content
icon for The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner

The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner

icon for The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner

The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner

Jennifer Flett 48%

Dan Quesnel 45%

Wally Daudrich 45%

Edna Nabess 45%

Polymarket
BAGO

Jennifer Flett 48%

Dan Quesnel 45%

Wally Daudrich 45%

Edna Nabess 45%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Jennifer Flett

Jennifer Flett

$0 Vol.

48%

icon for Dan Quesnel

Dan Quesnel

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Wally Daudrich

Wally Daudrich

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Edna Nabess

Edna Nabess

$0 Vol.

45%

A by-election for the Manitoba Legislative Assembly District The Pas-Kameesak is currently scheduled to be held on July 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Manitoba (https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/).The by-election for The Pas-Kameesak, called after the March 2026 death of long-serving NDP MLA Amanda Lathlin, is set for July 21 in a northern Manitoba riding that has favored the NDP in recent cycles. Recent nominations have produced a crowded field, with Jennifer Flett securing the NDP nod over family-linked rivals, Edna Nabess selected by the Progressive Conservatives, Dan Quesnel named by the Liberals, and Wally Daudrich entering for the Keystone Party after leaving the PCs. With roughly three weeks remaining and no public polling available, trader pricing reflects broad uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support in a multi-party contest. Local turnout patterns, last-minute endorsements, or candidate forums could quickly alter implied probabilities across the leading names.

A by-election for the Manitoba Legislative Assembly District The Pas-Kameesak is currently scheduled to be held on July 21, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Manitoba (https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/).
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 21, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
A by-election for the Manitoba Legislative Assembly District The Pas-Kameesak is currently scheduled to be held on July 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Manitoba (https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/).
A by-election for the Manitoba Legislative Assembly District The Pas-Kameesak is currently scheduled to be held on July 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Manitoba (https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/).The by-election for The Pas-Kameesak, called after the March 2026 death of long-serving NDP MLA Amanda Lathlin, is set for July 21 in a northern Manitoba riding that has favored the NDP in recent cycles. Recent nominations have produced a crowded field, with Jennifer Flett securing the NDP nod over family-linked rivals, Edna Nabess selected by the Progressive Conservatives, Dan Quesnel named by the Liberals, and Wally Daudrich entering for the Keystone Party after leaving the PCs. With roughly three weeks remaining and no public polling available, trader pricing reflects broad uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support in a multi-party contest. Local turnout patterns, last-minute endorsements, or candidate forums could quickly alter implied probabilities across the leading names.

A by-election for the Manitoba Legislative Assembly District The Pas-Kameesak is currently scheduled to be held on July 21, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Manitoba (https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/).
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 21, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
A by-election for the Manitoba Legislative Assembly District The Pas-Kameesak is currently scheduled to be held on July 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Manitoba (https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/).

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Jennifer Flett" sa 48%, sinusundan ng "Dan Quesnel" sa 46%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 48¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 48% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jul 2, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner" ay "Jennifer Flett" sa 48%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 48% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Dan Quesnel" sa 46%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.