President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current term extends through the scheduled 2028 presidential election, with the ruling AKP maintaining firm parliamentary control that allows it to reject opposition calls for a snap vote in 2026 or early 2027. Recent statements from AKP leaders and Erdoğan himself have explicitly ruled out early elections before the constitutional timetable, while unconfirmed health rumors from February have faded without triggering any institutional action. These factors, combined with ongoing legislative priorities announced for 2026, reinforce trader expectations that no vacancy will occur by year-end, though a sudden incapacitation or major political crisis remains a low-probability scenario that could still alter the outcome.