Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term runs until 2028 under Turkey’s constitution, with his Justice and Development Party holding a parliamentary majority that limits early challenges to his position. Recent statements from party officials, including the deputy speaker’s prediction of legislative steps to enable another term, reinforce expectations that he will remain in office through 2026. Although unverified health rumors have circulated, the presidency has dismissed them, and Erdoğan continues public appearances without official indications of incapacity or resignation. No snap elections or removal proceedings have been scheduled, and historical patterns show the ruling party prioritizing continuity rather than abrupt leadership changes ahead of the 2028 deadline. Trader consensus at 89.5 percent for “no” reflects these structural and political barriers to an exit by the end of next year.