Ongoing US-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, including a naval blockade and Iranian assertions of sovereignty through vessel inspections and the Persian Gulf Strait Authority, shape trader assessments of control over Hengam Island. A July 15, 2026, US projectile strike on a site on the island marked the most recent direct military action in the area amid broader escalation risks following 2025 air conflicts and failed nuclear talks. Iran maintains military and administrative presence on the strategically located island south of Qeshm, with no verified changes in sovereignty or occupation reported. Market pricing reflects the low likelihood of rapid shifts absent major escalation or negotiated territorial concessions, while scheduled diplomatic or naval developments in the coming weeks could influence short-term probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$121,230 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
1%
$121,230 Vol.
August 31
$93,682 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, including a naval blockade and Iranian assertions of sovereignty through vessel inspections and the Persian Gulf Strait Authority, shape trader assessments of control over Hengam Island. A July 15, 2026, US projectile strike on a site on the island marked the most recent direct military action in the area amid broader escalation risks following 2025 air conflicts and failed nuclear talks. Iran maintains military and administrative presence on the strategically located island south of Qeshm, with no verified changes in sovereignty or occupation reported. Market pricing reflects the low likelihood of rapid shifts absent major escalation or negotiated territorial concessions, while scheduled diplomatic or naval developments in the coming weeks could influence short-term probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
Volume
$121,230Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, including a naval blockade and Iranian assertions of sovereignty through vessel inspections and the Persian Gulf Strait Authority, shape trader assessments of control over Hengam Island. A July 15, 2026, US projectile strike on a site on the island marked the most recent direct military action in the area amid broader escalation risks following 2025 air conflicts and failed nuclear talks. Iran maintains military and administrative presence on the strategically located island south of Qeshm, with no verified changes in sovereignty or occupation reported. Market pricing reflects the low likelihood of rapid shifts absent major escalation or negotiated territorial concessions, while scheduled diplomatic or naval developments in the coming weeks could influence short-term probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$121,230Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, including a naval blockade and Iranian assertions of sovereignty through vessel inspections and the Persian Gulf Strait Authority, shape trader assessments of control over Hengam Island. A July 15, 2026, US projectile strike on a site on the island marked the most recent direct military action in the area amid broader escalation risks following 2025 air conflicts and failed nuclear talks. Iran maintains military and administrative presence on the strategically located island south of Qeshm, with no verified changes in sovereignty or occupation reported. Market pricing reflects the low likelihood of rapid shifts absent major escalation or negotiated territorial concessions, while scheduled diplomatic or naval developments in the coming weeks could influence short-term probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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