Recent ECMWF, GFS, and HARMONIE model ensembles have converged on a high temperature near 12°C for Amsterdam on May 14, driving trader consensus with 46.5% implied probability on that outcome, as a lingering cold front and persistent northerly flow advect cooler maritime air from the North Sea, suppressing highs well below seasonal norms of 16–17°C. Yesterday's updated forecasts from KNMI and international models reinforced this outlook, with minimal divergence among ensemble members showing limited potential for warming due to high pressure building to the east but cloud cover and showers capping insolation. While short-range forecasts carry inherent uncertainty from evolving boundary layer conditions, the next advisory from KNMI later today could refine probabilities ahead of observations at official stations like Schiphol.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 14?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 14?
12°C 49%
11°C 25%
13°C 23%
14°C 7.4%
BAGO
$16,679 Vol.
BAGO
$16,679 Vol.
May 14, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
25%
12°C
49%
13°C
23%
14°C
7%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 49%
11°C 25%
13°C 23%
14°C 7.4%
BAGO
$16,679 Vol.
BAGO
$16,679 Vol.
May 14, 2026
7°C or below
$2,786 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$861 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$871 Vol.
1%
10°C
$1,389 Vol.
3%
11°C
$2,040 Vol.
25%
12°C
$2,370 Vol.
49%
13°C
$1,020 Vol.
23%
14°C
$1,964 Vol.
7%
15°C
$1,155 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,488 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$739 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECMWF, GFS, and HARMONIE model ensembles have converged on a high temperature near 12°C for Amsterdam on May 14, driving trader consensus with 46.5% implied probability on that outcome, as a lingering cold front and persistent northerly flow advect cooler maritime air from the North Sea, suppressing highs well below seasonal norms of 16–17°C. Yesterday's updated forecasts from KNMI and international models reinforced this outlook, with minimal divergence among ensemble members showing limited potential for warming due to high pressure building to the east but cloud cover and showers capping insolation. While short-range forecasts carry inherent uncertainty from evolving boundary layer conditions, the next advisory from KNMI later today could refine probabilities ahead of observations at official stations like Schiphol.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$16,679Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECMWF, GFS, and HARMONIE model ensembles have converged on a high temperature near 12°C for Amsterdam on May 14, driving trader consensus with 46.5% implied probability on that outcome, as a lingering cold front and persistent northerly flow advect cooler maritime air from the North Sea, suppressing highs well below seasonal norms of 16–17°C. Yesterday's updated forecasts from KNMI and international models reinforced this outlook, with minimal divergence among ensemble members showing limited potential for warming due to high pressure building to the east but cloud cover and showers capping insolation. While short-range forecasts carry inherent uncertainty from evolving boundary layer conditions, the next advisory from KNMI later today could refine probabilities ahead of observations at official stations like Schiphol.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,679Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF, GFS, and HARMONIE model ensembles have converged on a high temperature near 12°C for Amsterdam on May 14, driving trader consensus with 46.5% implied probability on that outcome, as a lingering cold front and persistent northerly flow advect cooler maritime air from the North Sea, suppressing highs well below seasonal norms of 16–17°C. Yesterday's updated forecasts from KNMI and international models reinforced this outlook, with minimal divergence among ensemble members showing limited potential for warming due to high pressure building to the east but cloud cover and showers capping insolation. While short-range forecasts carry inherent uncertainty from evolving boundary layer conditions, the next advisory from KNMI later today could refine probabilities ahead of observations at official stations like Schiphol.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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