Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Ankara's highest temperature on May 14, with most members projecting daytime peaks of 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of light rain showers. A passing mid-level trough from the northwest introduces variability: models showing earlier clearing favor 22–23°C via enhanced solar insolation, while those with persistent cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms cap highs at 20–21°C. Ankara's continental climate amplifies springtime uncertainty from diurnal temperature swings and boundary layer mixing. Turkish Meteorological Service (MGM) updates and airport observations starting early Thursday will refine this, as historical May averages hover near 22°C with similar synoptic patterns.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Ankara on May 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 14?
22°C 34.0%
21°C 32%
23°C 15.3%
20°C 12%
$33,671 Vol.
$33,671 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
12%
21°C
32%
22°C
34%
23°C
15%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
22°C 34.0%
21°C 32%
23°C 15.3%
20°C 12%
$33,671 Vol.
$33,671 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
12%
21°C
32%
22°C
34%
23°C
15%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Ankara's highest temperature on May 14, with most members projecting daytime peaks of 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of light rain showers. A passing mid-level trough from the northwest introduces variability: models showing earlier clearing favor 22–23°C via enhanced solar insolation, while those with persistent cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms cap highs at 20–21°C. Ankara's continental climate amplifies springtime uncertainty from diurnal temperature swings and boundary layer mixing. Turkish Meteorological Service (MGM) updates and airport observations starting early Thursday will refine this, as historical May averages hover near 22°C with similar synoptic patterns.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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