Current National Weather Service and model guidance project a high near 97–98°F in Austin on September 6 under partly cloudy skies, light southeast flow, and only a 20% chance of afternoon storms. Persistent high pressure and above-average moisture levels support continued above-normal warmth for early September, when the climatological average high is 93°F. Limited daytime convection and heat indices near 105°F align with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 41% implied probability, while modest uncertainty in exact peak timing and any localized storm development sustains secondary support for 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Austin on September 6?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 6?
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 37%
92-93°F 22%
100-101°F 17%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 6, 2026
85°F or below
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
37%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
17%
102-103°F
16%
104°F or higher
10%
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 37%
92-93°F 22%
100-101°F 17%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 6, 2026
85°F or below
$48 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
15%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
22%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
37%
96-97°F
$48 Vol.
41%
98-99°F
$13 Vol.
16%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
17%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
16%
104°F or higher
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance project a high near 97–98°F in Austin on September 6 under partly cloudy skies, light southeast flow, and only a 20% chance of afternoon storms. Persistent high pressure and above-average moisture levels support continued above-normal warmth for early September, when the climatological average high is 93°F. Limited daytime convection and heat indices near 105°F align with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 41% implied probability, while modest uncertainty in exact peak timing and any localized storm development sustains secondary support for 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$109Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance project a high near 97–98°F in Austin on September 6 under partly cloudy skies, light southeast flow, and only a 20% chance of afternoon storms. Persistent high pressure and above-average moisture levels support continued above-normal warmth for early September, when the climatological average high is 93°F. Limited daytime convection and heat indices near 105°F align with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 41% implied probability, while modest uncertainty in exact peak timing and any localized storm development sustains secondary support for 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$109Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance project a high near 97–98°F in Austin on September 6 under partly cloudy skies, light southeast flow, and only a 20% chance of afternoon storms. Persistent high pressure and above-average moisture levels support continued above-normal warmth for early September, when the climatological average high is 93°F. Limited daytime convection and heat indices near 105°F align with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 41% implied probability, while modest uncertainty in exact peak timing and any localized storm development sustains secondary support for 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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