Ensemble forecast models indicate overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms in Chengdu on August 16 will moderate peak temperatures through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping the daily high near 32–34°C rather than the 36°C potential under clear conditions. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 32°C and 33°C because small variations in cloud timing or convective intensity can shift the maximum by 1–2°C, a common uncertainty range in humid subtropical summer regimes. Historical August baselines average 30–32°C, but recent model runs emphasize persistent moisture limiting diurnal warming. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers expected within the next 12–24 hours could refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 16?
33°C 27%
32°C 25%
34°C 19%
35°C or higher 15.4%
BAGO
$16,292 Vol.
BAGO
$16,292 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
25%
33°C
27%
34°C
19%
35°C or higher
15%
33°C 27%
32°C 25%
34°C 19%
35°C or higher 15.4%
BAGO
$16,292 Vol.
BAGO
$16,292 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$484 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,091 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,420 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,099 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$470 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,405 Vol.
4%
31°C
$1,232 Vol.
11%
32°C
$1,155 Vol.
25%
33°C
$2,579 Vol.
27%
34°C
$1,535 Vol.
19%
35°C or higher
$2,822 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecast models indicate overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms in Chengdu on August 16 will moderate peak temperatures through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping the daily high near 32–34°C rather than the 36°C potential under clear conditions. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 32°C and 33°C because small variations in cloud timing or convective intensity can shift the maximum by 1–2°C, a common uncertainty range in humid subtropical summer regimes. Historical August baselines average 30–32°C, but recent model runs emphasize persistent moisture limiting diurnal warming. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers expected within the next 12–24 hours could refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$16,292Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecast models indicate overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms in Chengdu on August 16 will moderate peak temperatures through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping the daily high near 32–34°C rather than the 36°C potential under clear conditions. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 32°C and 33°C because small variations in cloud timing or convective intensity can shift the maximum by 1–2°C, a common uncertainty range in humid subtropical summer regimes. Historical August baselines average 30–32°C, but recent model runs emphasize persistent moisture limiting diurnal warming. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers expected within the next 12–24 hours could refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,292Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecast models indicate overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms in Chengdu on August 16 will moderate peak temperatures through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping the daily high near 32–34°C rather than the 36°C potential under clear conditions. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 32°C and 33°C because small variations in cloud timing or convective intensity can shift the maximum by 1–2°C, a common uncertainty range in humid subtropical summer regimes. Historical August baselines average 30–32°C, but recent model runs emphasize persistent moisture limiting diurnal warming. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers expected within the next 12–24 hours could refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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