Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago indicate a maximum temperature in the low 70s°F on June 14 under partly to mostly sunny skies with a chance of showers, directly supporting the tight market clustering around the 70–73°F bins. Cooler-than-normal conditions stem from moderating Lake Michigan breezes, increased cloud cover limiting insolation, and potential convective activity suppressing peak readings below the seasonal average of roughly 80°F. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet small shifts in timing of any showers or wind direction could differentiate between the leading 70–71°F and 72–73°F outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability for mid-June diurnal ranges.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chicago on June 14?
70-71°F 34%
72-73°F 33%
74-75°F 15%
68-69°F 14%
$23,224 Vol.
$23,224 Vol.
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
34%
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
4%
78°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 34%
72-73°F 33%
74-75°F 15%
68-69°F 14%
$23,224 Vol.
$23,224 Vol.
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
34%
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
4%
78°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago indicate a maximum temperature in the low 70s°F on June 14 under partly to mostly sunny skies with a chance of showers, directly supporting the tight market clustering around the 70–73°F bins. Cooler-than-normal conditions stem from moderating Lake Michigan breezes, increased cloud cover limiting insolation, and potential convective activity suppressing peak readings below the seasonal average of roughly 80°F. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet small shifts in timing of any showers or wind direction could differentiate between the leading 70–71°F and 72–73°F outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability for mid-June diurnal ranges.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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