Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather place Istanbul’s June 14 maximum near 25–26°C under sunny skies with light northerly flow, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 25°C at 49% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this central value, reflecting typical mid-June climatology of 24–26°C highs and the absence of strong warm or cool advection. Lower odds on 24°C and 26°C capture residual model uncertainty in daytime heating rates, while probabilities drop sharply above 27°C given stable high pressure and no indications of anomalous warmth. Updated model runs and official observations through the morning will refine these ranges ahead of final market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
25°C 55%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
27°C 2.5%
$31,833 Vol.
$31,833 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
26%
25°C
55%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 55%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
27°C 2.5%
$31,833 Vol.
$31,833 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
20°C or below
$6,340 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,321 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,940 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,559 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,008 Vol.
26%
25°C
$4,025 Vol.
55%
26°C
$3,173 Vol.
16%
27°C
$1,649 Vol.
3%
28°C
$2,110 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,152 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,754 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather place Istanbul’s June 14 maximum near 25–26°C under sunny skies with light northerly flow, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 25°C at 49% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this central value, reflecting typical mid-June climatology of 24–26°C highs and the absence of strong warm or cool advection. Lower odds on 24°C and 26°C capture residual model uncertainty in daytime heating rates, while probabilities drop sharply above 27°C given stable high pressure and no indications of anomalous warmth. Updated model runs and official observations through the morning will refine these ranges ahead of final market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$31,833Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather place Istanbul’s June 14 maximum near 25–26°C under sunny skies with light northerly flow, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 25°C at 49% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this central value, reflecting typical mid-June climatology of 24–26°C highs and the absence of strong warm or cool advection. Lower odds on 24°C and 26°C capture residual model uncertainty in daytime heating rates, while probabilities drop sharply above 27°C given stable high pressure and no indications of anomalous warmth. Updated model runs and official observations through the morning will refine these ranges ahead of final market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,833Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather place Istanbul’s June 14 maximum near 25–26°C under sunny skies with light northerly flow, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 25°C at 49% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this central value, reflecting typical mid-June climatology of 24–26°C highs and the absence of strong warm or cool advection. Lower odds on 24°C and 26°C capture residual model uncertainty in daytime heating rates, while probabilities drop sharply above 27°C given stable high pressure and no indications of anomalous warmth. Updated model runs and official observations through the morning will refine these ranges ahead of final market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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