Latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position London’s maximum temperature on August 12 near 32°C under a blocking high-pressure system driving southerly flow of warm continental air and clear skies that enhance daytime heating. This setup sustains the fifth UK heatwave of summer 2026, with model consensus tightly clustered between 30–32°C and limited spread typical for a same-day temperature market. Trader-implied odds therefore concentrate on 31°C as the leading outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band and historical performance of these models under similar synoptic conditions. Updated guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution within the 1°C brackets.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in London on August 12?
Highest temperature in London on August 12?
31°C 59%
30°C 20%
32°C 17.5%
33°C 5%
$68,563 Vol.
$68,563 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
20%
31°C
59%
32°C
18%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 59%
30°C 20%
32°C 17.5%
33°C 5%
$68,563 Vol.
$68,563 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$1,417 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,755 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,417 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,168 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,542 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,868 Vol.
4%
30°C
$11,689 Vol.
20%
31°C
$14,180 Vol.
59%
32°C
$6,860 Vol.
18%
33°C
$6,480 Vol.
5%
34°C or higher
$6,186 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position London’s maximum temperature on August 12 near 32°C under a blocking high-pressure system driving southerly flow of warm continental air and clear skies that enhance daytime heating. This setup sustains the fifth UK heatwave of summer 2026, with model consensus tightly clustered between 30–32°C and limited spread typical for a same-day temperature market. Trader-implied odds therefore concentrate on 31°C as the leading outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band and historical performance of these models under similar synoptic conditions. Updated guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution within the 1°C brackets.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$68,563Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position London’s maximum temperature on August 12 near 32°C under a blocking high-pressure system driving southerly flow of warm continental air and clear skies that enhance daytime heating. This setup sustains the fifth UK heatwave of summer 2026, with model consensus tightly clustered between 30–32°C and limited spread typical for a same-day temperature market. Trader-implied odds therefore concentrate on 31°C as the leading outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band and historical performance of these models under similar synoptic conditions. Updated guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution within the 1°C brackets.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$68,563Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position London’s maximum temperature on August 12 near 32°C under a blocking high-pressure system driving southerly flow of warm continental air and clear skies that enhance daytime heating. This setup sustains the fifth UK heatwave of summer 2026, with model consensus tightly clustered between 30–32°C and limited spread typical for a same-day temperature market. Trader-implied odds therefore concentrate on 31°C as the leading outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band and historical performance of these models under similar synoptic conditions. Updated guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution within the 1°C brackets.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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