Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather point to an overnight minimum of 18°C for London into August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and a mild air mass advected from the east. Light easterly winds limit turbulent mixing in the boundary layer, while the absence of significant cloud cover allows modest radiative cooling overnight. Numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus on these conditions, with limited spread in steering patterns or moisture that could produce deeper cooling. Historical August overnight lows average near 14–16°C, yet the current setup keeps temperatures elevated relative to climatology. Trader positioning at 74% for 18°C and 24.5% for 17°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow window for any last-minute adjustments before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on August 12?
18°C 94%
17°C 6%
16°C <1%
12°C or below <1%
$12,427 Vol.
$12,427 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
6%
18°C
94%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 94%
17°C 6%
16°C <1%
12°C or below <1%
$12,427 Vol.
$12,427 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
6%
18°C
94%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather point to an overnight minimum of 18°C for London into August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and a mild air mass advected from the east. Light easterly winds limit turbulent mixing in the boundary layer, while the absence of significant cloud cover allows modest radiative cooling overnight. Numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus on these conditions, with limited spread in steering patterns or moisture that could produce deeper cooling. Historical August overnight lows average near 14–16°C, yet the current setup keeps temperatures elevated relative to climatology. Trader positioning at 74% for 18°C and 24.5% for 17°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow window for any last-minute adjustments before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong