**Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system and hot air advection from North Africa are positioning Madrid for a peak temperature near 39°C on August 13, 2026.** Latest guidance from AEMET and supporting models, including extended-range outlooks from AccuWeather, show daytime highs of 38–39°C under clear skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate warming. The urban heat island effect in central Madrid further supports these readings, consistent with recent observations exceeding seasonal averages by 5–8°C amid Spain’s fourth heatwave of the year. While 40°C remains plausible if subsidence strengthens or local winds shift, current consensus and the narrow spread in forecasts explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 39°C (73.5%) over lower or higher outcomes. Updated agency briefings through the day will provide the final resolution data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on August 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 13?
39°C 70%
40°C 25%
38°C 4%
37°C <1%
$39,516 Vol.
$39,516 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
35°C or below
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
4%
39°C
70%
40°C
25%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
39°C 70%
40°C 25%
38°C 4%
37°C <1%
$39,516 Vol.
$39,516 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
35°C or below
$2,338 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,579 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$3,773 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$4,101 Vol.
4%
39°C
$5,651 Vol.
70%
40°C
$14,626 Vol.
25%
41°C
$4,065 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$1,132 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$823 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$1,063 Vol.
<1%
45°C or higher
$365 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system and hot air advection from North Africa are positioning Madrid for a peak temperature near 39°C on August 13, 2026.** Latest guidance from AEMET and supporting models, including extended-range outlooks from AccuWeather, show daytime highs of 38–39°C under clear skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate warming. The urban heat island effect in central Madrid further supports these readings, consistent with recent observations exceeding seasonal averages by 5–8°C amid Spain’s fourth heatwave of the year. While 40°C remains plausible if subsidence strengthens or local winds shift, current consensus and the narrow spread in forecasts explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 39°C (73.5%) over lower or higher outcomes. Updated agency briefings through the day will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$39,516Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system and hot air advection from North Africa are positioning Madrid for a peak temperature near 39°C on August 13, 2026.** Latest guidance from AEMET and supporting models, including extended-range outlooks from AccuWeather, show daytime highs of 38–39°C under clear skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate warming. The urban heat island effect in central Madrid further supports these readings, consistent with recent observations exceeding seasonal averages by 5–8°C amid Spain’s fourth heatwave of the year. While 40°C remains plausible if subsidence strengthens or local winds shift, current consensus and the narrow spread in forecasts explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 39°C (73.5%) over lower or higher outcomes. Updated agency briefings through the day will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,516Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system and hot air advection from North Africa are positioning Madrid for a peak temperature near 39°C on August 13, 2026.** Latest guidance from AEMET and supporting models, including extended-range outlooks from AccuWeather, show daytime highs of 38–39°C under clear skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate warming. The urban heat island effect in central Madrid further supports these readings, consistent with recent observations exceeding seasonal averages by 5–8°C amid Spain’s fourth heatwave of the year. While 40°C remains plausible if subsidence strengthens or local winds shift, current consensus and the narrow spread in forecasts explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 39°C (73.5%) over lower or higher outcomes. Updated agency briefings through the day will provide the final resolution data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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