Recent observational data from Madrid weather stations indicate daytime highs holding near 27–28°C amid scattered clouds, passing showers, and moderate winds, well below seasonal norms for mid-August. This cooling stems from a transient low-pressure system and increased cloud cover suppressing peak solar heating and limiting surface warming, consistent with National Weather Service equivalents and model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local monitoring. Trader sentiment reflects this confirmed evidence, with the 99.9% implied probability for 30°C or below anchored in real-time measurements rather than long-range projections. A late-day surge or revised official maximum could theoretically shift outcomes, though current atmospheric conditions make significant warming unlikely before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on August 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 15?
30°C or below 100.0%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$171,519 Vol.
$171,519 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
30°C or below 100.0%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$171,519 Vol.
$171,519 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
$37,861 Vol.
100%
31°C
$29,548 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$25,433 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$22,196 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$17,940 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$16,327 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$13,729 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$5,595 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,790 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$840 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Madrid weather stations indicate daytime highs holding near 27–28°C amid scattered clouds, passing showers, and moderate winds, well below seasonal norms for mid-August. This cooling stems from a transient low-pressure system and increased cloud cover suppressing peak solar heating and limiting surface warming, consistent with National Weather Service equivalents and model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local monitoring. Trader sentiment reflects this confirmed evidence, with the 99.9% implied probability for 30°C or below anchored in real-time measurements rather than long-range projections. A late-day surge or revised official maximum could theoretically shift outcomes, though current atmospheric conditions make significant warming unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$171,519Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Madrid weather stations indicate daytime highs holding near 27–28°C amid scattered clouds, passing showers, and moderate winds, well below seasonal norms for mid-August. This cooling stems from a transient low-pressure system and increased cloud cover suppressing peak solar heating and limiting surface warming, consistent with National Weather Service equivalents and model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local monitoring. Trader sentiment reflects this confirmed evidence, with the 99.9% implied probability for 30°C or below anchored in real-time measurements rather than long-range projections. A late-day surge or revised official maximum could theoretically shift outcomes, though current atmospheric conditions make significant warming unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$171,519Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data from Madrid weather stations indicate daytime highs holding near 27–28°C amid scattered clouds, passing showers, and moderate winds, well below seasonal norms for mid-August. This cooling stems from a transient low-pressure system and increased cloud cover suppressing peak solar heating and limiting surface warming, consistent with National Weather Service equivalents and model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local monitoring. Trader sentiment reflects this confirmed evidence, with the 99.9% implied probability for 30°C or below anchored in real-time measurements rather than long-range projections. A late-day surge or revised official maximum could theoretically shift outcomes, though current atmospheric conditions make significant warming unlikely before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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