Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Moscow under a warm southerly flow tomorrow, with daytime maxima most likely peaking between 28°C and 29°C as a ridge builds overhead. This places the highest implied probabilities on those two outcomes while leaving modest room for 30°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens or for 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier than expected. Mid-May climatology at VDNKh averages only 18–20°C, so the current anomaly stems from persistent high pressure and reduced cloudiness observed over the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum reported by Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center, with the next model update cycle expected to narrow the range further before markets close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
29°C 32%
28°C 28%
30°C 19%
27°C 12%
BAGO
$13,065 Vol.
BAGO
$13,065 Vol.
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
12%
28°C
28%
29°C
32%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
3%
29°C 32%
28°C 28%
30°C 19%
27°C 12%
BAGO
$13,065 Vol.
BAGO
$13,065 Vol.
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
$936 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$848 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,346 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,800 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,484 Vol.
1%
26°C
$695 Vol.
2%
27°C
$546 Vol.
12%
28°C
$749 Vol.
28%
29°C
$593 Vol.
32%
30°C
$473 Vol.
19%
31°C or higher
$1,624 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Moscow under a warm southerly flow tomorrow, with daytime maxima most likely peaking between 28°C and 29°C as a ridge builds overhead. This places the highest implied probabilities on those two outcomes while leaving modest room for 30°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens or for 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier than expected. Mid-May climatology at VDNKh averages only 18–20°C, so the current anomaly stems from persistent high pressure and reduced cloudiness observed over the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum reported by Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center, with the next model update cycle expected to narrow the range further before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$13,065Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Moscow under a warm southerly flow tomorrow, with daytime maxima most likely peaking between 28°C and 29°C as a ridge builds overhead. This places the highest implied probabilities on those two outcomes while leaving modest room for 30°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens or for 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier than expected. Mid-May climatology at VDNKh averages only 18–20°C, so the current anomaly stems from persistent high pressure and reduced cloudiness observed over the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum reported by Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center, with the next model update cycle expected to narrow the range further before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,065Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from global models show Moscow under a warm southerly flow tomorrow, with daytime maxima most likely peaking between 28°C and 29°C as a ridge builds overhead. This places the highest implied probabilities on those two outcomes while leaving modest room for 30°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens or for 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier than expected. Mid-May climatology at VDNKh averages only 18–20°C, so the current anomaly stems from persistent high pressure and reduced cloudiness observed over the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum reported by Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center, with the next model update cycle expected to narrow the range further before markets close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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