Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate that Seoul will likely experience a mild late-spring day on May 18, with daytime heating under generally clear skies and light southwesterly winds favoring maximum temperatures of 25°C or higher. This outlook aligns with climatological patterns for mid-May, when average highs reach 23–26°C amid lengthening daylight and the gradual retreat of cooler northerly air masses. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with no significant frontal systems expected to suppress warmth before the observation period closes. Traders have priced in this stability, assigning over 78% implied probability to the 25°C threshold while assigning minimal weight to cooler outcomes that would require an unseasonal cold surge.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
25°C or higher 81%
24°C 18%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$82,060 Vol.
$82,060 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
81%
25°C or higher 81%
24°C 18%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$82,060 Vol.
$82,060 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
81%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate that Seoul will likely experience a mild late-spring day on May 18, with daytime heating under generally clear skies and light southwesterly winds favoring maximum temperatures of 25°C or higher. This outlook aligns with climatological patterns for mid-May, when average highs reach 23–26°C amid lengthening daylight and the gradual retreat of cooler northerly air masses. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with no significant frontal systems expected to suppress warmth before the observation period closes. Traders have priced in this stability, assigning over 78% implied probability to the 25°C threshold while assigning minimal weight to cooler outcomes that would require an unseasonal cold surge.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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