Recent numerical weather prediction runs from models including ECMWF and GFS project a maximum temperature of 31–33 °C in Tel Aviv on August 26 under stable high-pressure conditions, mostly clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean regimes. These values sit near or slightly above the 30–32 °C historical August average, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 33 °C (58.5 %) and 34 °C (32 %). Ensemble spread remains modest, but small differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model cycles and Israel Meteorological Service observations through August 25 will provide the final constraints ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26?
33°C 58%
34°C 33%
32°C 8%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
58%
34°C
33%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 58%
34°C 33%
32°C 8%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
58%
34°C
33%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from models including ECMWF and GFS project a maximum temperature of 31–33 °C in Tel Aviv on August 26 under stable high-pressure conditions, mostly clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean regimes. These values sit near or slightly above the 30–32 °C historical August average, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 33 °C (58.5 %) and 34 °C (32 %). Ensemble spread remains modest, but small differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model cycles and Israel Meteorological Service observations through August 25 will provide the final constraints ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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