Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at 28 °C for May 17 at the Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern aligns with mid-May climatological norms while favoring the upper end of the daily range, producing high model consensus across short-range numerical weather prediction systems. Traders have accordingly concentrated near-100 % implied probability on the 28 °C outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty envelope typical of high-confidence, late-stage forecasts. The primary scenarios that could still alter resolution remain an unexpected late-model shift in cloud cover or a localized measurement deviation at the official station.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$94,339 Vol.
$94,339 Vol.
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$94,339 Vol.
$94,339 Vol.
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
$3,024 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,893 Vol.
No
22°C
$819 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,290 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,445 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,250 Vol.
No
26°C
$10,417 Vol.
No
27°C
$14,452 Vol.
No
28°C
$20,264 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$12,068 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$10,417 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at 28 °C for May 17 at the Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern aligns with mid-May climatological norms while favoring the upper end of the daily range, producing high model consensus across short-range numerical weather prediction systems. Traders have accordingly concentrated near-100 % implied probability on the 28 °C outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty envelope typical of high-confidence, late-stage forecasts. The primary scenarios that could still alter resolution remain an unexpected late-model shift in cloud cover or a localized measurement deviation at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$94,339Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at 28 °C for May 17 at the Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern aligns with mid-May climatological norms while favoring the upper end of the daily range, producing high model consensus across short-range numerical weather prediction systems. Traders have accordingly concentrated near-100 % implied probability on the 28 °C outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty envelope typical of high-confidence, late-stage forecasts. The primary scenarios that could still alter resolution remain an unexpected late-model shift in cloud cover or a localized measurement deviation at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$94,339Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at 28 °C for May 17 at the Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern aligns with mid-May climatological norms while favoring the upper end of the daily range, producing high model consensus across short-range numerical weather prediction systems. Traders have accordingly concentrated near-100 % implied probability on the 28 °C outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty envelope typical of high-confidence, late-stage forecasts. The primary scenarios that could still alter resolution remain an unexpected late-model shift in cloud cover or a localized measurement deviation at the official station.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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