Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges since February 2026, including strikes on coastal targets and renewed attacks on shipping through July and into August, have centered on Iran's efforts to enforce transit rules via checkpoints and patrols near Hormuz Island and adjacent waters. Iran maintains administrative and military authority over the island as part of its territorial claims in the Strait of Hormuz, with no verified foreign seizure or handover recorded despite naval blockades, ceasefires, and diplomatic memoranda. Key drivers include Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps operations to route vessels and US responses aimed at restoring open passage, alongside coordination talks involving Oman. No scheduled summits or deadlines in the immediate term indicate an imminent shift in island sovereignty.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$61,589 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
1%
$61,589 Vol.
August 31
$49,852 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hormuz Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hormuz Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges since February 2026, including strikes on coastal targets and renewed attacks on shipping through July and into August, have centered on Iran's efforts to enforce transit rules via checkpoints and patrols near Hormuz Island and adjacent waters. Iran maintains administrative and military authority over the island as part of its territorial claims in the Strait of Hormuz, with no verified foreign seizure or handover recorded despite naval blockades, ceasefires, and diplomatic memoranda. Key drivers include Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps operations to route vessels and US responses aimed at restoring open passage, alongside coordination talks involving Oman. No scheduled summits or deadlines in the immediate term indicate an imminent shift in island sovereignty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hormuz Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hormuz Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hormuz Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
Volume
$61,589Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hormuz Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hormuz Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges since February 2026, including strikes on coastal targets and renewed attacks on shipping through July and into August, have centered on Iran's efforts to enforce transit rules via checkpoints and patrols near Hormuz Island and adjacent waters. Iran maintains administrative and military authority over the island as part of its territorial claims in the Strait of Hormuz, with no verified foreign seizure or handover recorded despite naval blockades, ceasefires, and diplomatic memoranda. Key drivers include Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps operations to route vessels and US responses aimed at restoring open passage, alongside coordination talks involving Oman. No scheduled summits or deadlines in the immediate term indicate an imminent shift in island sovereignty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hormuz Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hormuz Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hormuz Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$61,589Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges since February 2026, including strikes on coastal targets and renewed attacks on shipping through July and into August, have centered on Iran's efforts to enforce transit rules via checkpoints and patrols near Hormuz Island and adjacent waters. Iran maintains administrative and military authority over the island as part of its territorial claims in the Strait of Hormuz, with no verified foreign seizure or handover recorded despite naval blockades, ceasefires, and diplomatic memoranda. Key drivers include Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps operations to route vessels and US responses aimed at restoring open passage, alongside coordination talks involving Oman. No scheduled summits or deadlines in the immediate term indicate an imminent shift in island sovereignty.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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