Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of the 36 races on the November 2026 ballot, which feature an even 18-18 split of seats up for election. Nine Republican-held seats and several Democratic ones are open due to term limits or retirements, including competitive contests in Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin, Arizona, Ohio, and Alaska. Forecasters rate multiple races as toss-ups or leans, with Democrats defending several Trump-won states and Republicans facing exposure in a handful of others. This balance of open-seat vulnerabilities, incumbent defenses, and limited polling leads traders to cluster probabilities tightly around 22–25 Republican governors. Outcomes in the highest-profile battlegrounds, combined with any broader midterm shifts in turnout or candidate positioning, will determine whether the total moves higher or lower.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateIlan ang mga Gobernador ng Republika pagkatapos ng halalan ng midterm ng 2026?
22–23 28%
24–25 25%
<22 20%
26–27 16%
$695,258 Vol.
$695,258 Vol.
<22
20%
22–23
28%
24–25
25%
26–27
16%
28–29
5%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
22–23 28%
24–25 25%
<22 20%
26–27 16%
$695,258 Vol.
$695,258 Vol.
<22
20%
22–23
28%
24–25
25%
26–27
16%
28–29
5%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of the 36 races on the November 2026 ballot, which feature an even 18-18 split of seats up for election. Nine Republican-held seats and several Democratic ones are open due to term limits or retirements, including competitive contests in Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin, Arizona, Ohio, and Alaska. Forecasters rate multiple races as toss-ups or leans, with Democrats defending several Trump-won states and Republicans facing exposure in a handful of others. This balance of open-seat vulnerabilities, incumbent defenses, and limited polling leads traders to cluster probabilities tightly around 22–25 Republican governors. Outcomes in the highest-profile battlegrounds, combined with any broader midterm shifts in turnout or candidate positioning, will determine whether the total moves higher or lower.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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