**RZP (Religious Zionist Party) is finalizing its independent Knesset list ahead of the October 27, 2026 elections, with no agreement or active negotiations for a joint slate with Likud.** The party held primaries in late July, released its slate (Smotrich in first position, followed by figures such as Orit Strock and Simcha Rothman), and must submit to the Central Elections Committee by early September. Likud conducted its own primary in mid-August and is assembling a separate national list under Netanyahu. Recent polling underscores the separation. Multiple surveys from late August show RZP hovering near or below the 3.25% threshold, with new entrant Ofer Winter’s People of Israel party drawing religious-nationalist votes and further pressuring Smotrich’s faction. Netanyahu has publicly urged unity between RZP and Otzma Yehudit (Ben-Gvir) to consolidate the right-wing bloc and avoid wasted votes, but discussions have not extended to a Likud merger. Earlier speculation about reserved Likud slots for Smotrich or broader right-wing technical alliances has not materialized into concrete steps. These developments align with trader expectations reflected in the 78% probability on “No.” Separate organizational processes, distinct primaries, and focus on other consolidation options (primarily Otzma Yehudit) make a Likud-RZP joint list unlikely in the remaining window before candidate lists close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update29% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 7, 2026
29% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 7, 2026
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**RZP (Religious Zionist Party) is finalizing its independent Knesset list ahead of the October 27, 2026 elections, with no agreement or active negotiations for a joint slate with Likud.** The party held primaries in late July, released its slate (Smotrich in first position, followed by figures such as Orit Strock and Simcha Rothman), and must submit to the Central Elections Committee by early September. Likud conducted its own primary in mid-August and is assembling a separate national list under Netanyahu.
Recent polling underscores the separation. Multiple surveys from late August show RZP hovering near or below the 3.25% threshold, with new entrant Ofer Winter’s People of Israel party drawing religious-nationalist votes and further pressuring Smotrich’s faction. Netanyahu has publicly urged unity between RZP and Otzma Yehudit (Ben-Gvir) to consolidate the right-wing bloc and avoid wasted votes, but discussions have not extended to a Likud merger. Earlier speculation about reserved Likud slots for Smotrich or broader right-wing technical alliances has not materialized into concrete steps.
These developments align with trader expectations reflected in the 78% probability on “No.” Separate organizational processes, distinct primaries, and focus on other consolidation options (primarily Otzma Yehudit) make a Likud-RZP joint list unlikely in the remaining window before candidate lists close.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$372Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**RZP (Religious Zionist Party) is finalizing its independent Knesset list ahead of the October 27, 2026 elections, with no agreement or active negotiations for a joint slate with Likud.** The party held primaries in late July, released its slate (Smotrich in first position, followed by figures such as Orit Strock and Simcha Rothman), and must submit to the Central Elections Committee by early September. Likud conducted its own primary in mid-August and is assembling a separate national list under Netanyahu.
Recent polling underscores the separation. Multiple surveys from late August show RZP hovering near or below the 3.25% threshold, with new entrant Ofer Winter’s People of Israel party drawing religious-nationalist votes and further pressuring Smotrich’s faction. Netanyahu has publicly urged unity between RZP and Otzma Yehudit (Ben-Gvir) to consolidate the right-wing bloc and avoid wasted votes, but discussions have not extended to a Likud merger. Earlier speculation about reserved Likud slots for Smotrich or broader right-wing technical alliances has not materialized into concrete steps.
These developments align with trader expectations reflected in the 78% probability on “No.” Separate organizational processes, distinct primaries, and focus on other consolidation options (primarily Otzma Yehudit) make a Likud-RZP joint list unlikely in the remaining window before candidate lists close.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Volume
$372Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**RZP (Religious Zionist Party) is finalizing its independent Knesset list ahead of the October 27, 2026 elections, with no agreement or active negotiations for a joint slate with Likud.** The party held primaries in late July, released its slate (Smotrich in first position, followed by figures such as Orit Strock and Simcha Rothman), and must submit to the Central Elections Committee by early September. Likud conducted its own primary in mid-August and is assembling a separate national list under Netanyahu. Recent polling underscores the separation. Multiple surveys from late August show RZP hovering near or below the 3.25% threshold, with new entrant Ofer Winter’s People of Israel party drawing religious-nationalist votes and further pressuring Smotrich’s faction. Netanyahu has publicly urged unity between RZP and Otzma Yehudit (Ben-Gvir) to consolidate the right-wing bloc and avoid wasted votes, but discussions have not extended to a Likud merger. Earlier speculation about reserved Likud slots for Smotrich or broader right-wing technical alliances has not materialized into concrete steps. These developments align with trader expectations reflected in the 78% probability on “No.” Separate organizational processes, distinct primaries, and focus on other consolidation options (primarily Otzma Yehudit) make a Likud-RZP joint list unlikely in the remaining window before candidate lists close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong