Jerome Powell completed his second term as Federal Reserve Chair on May 15, 2026, with Kevin Warsh confirmed by the Senate as successor earlier that month. Powell announced in late April that he would remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period, citing his separate 14-year governor term that runs through January 2028 and ongoing legal and institutional pressures. This marks the first such extension by an outgoing chair since 1948 and follows months of public tension over monetary policy independence. Traders assess these developments against the fixed statutory timeline for chair terms, the Senate confirmation process, and any potential early exits or resignations that could shift resolution before scheduled dates. Upcoming Federal Open Market Committee meetings and statements from the new leadership may provide further clarity on continuity at the central bank.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$212,736 Vol.
June 30
99%
May 31
88%
$212,736 Vol.
June 30
99%
May 31
88%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 27, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Jerome Powell completed his second term as Federal Reserve Chair on May 15, 2026, with Kevin Warsh confirmed by the Senate as successor earlier that month. Powell announced in late April that he would remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period, citing his separate 14-year governor term that runs through January 2028 and ongoing legal and institutional pressures. This marks the first such extension by an outgoing chair since 1948 and follows months of public tension over monetary policy independence. Traders assess these developments against the fixed statutory timeline for chair terms, the Senate confirmation process, and any potential early exits or resignations that could shift resolution before scheduled dates. Upcoming Federal Open Market Committee meetings and statements from the new leadership may provide further clarity on continuity at the central bank.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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