Trader consensus favors 25-29 posts by the official Mojtaba Khamenei X account during the August 11-18 window, reflecting expectations of sustained messaging amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and efforts to project regime unity. Recent weeks show the account issuing batches of statements on resistance fronts, Hezbollah commemorations, and diplomatic positioning, with activity tied to regional developments rather than daily routines. Internal tensions, including reported friction between the Supreme Leader’s office and President Pezeshkian over negotiation stances, have prompted official channels to emphasize cohesion and reject unauthorized attributions. Broader patterns indicate higher posting volume during periods of escalation or key anniversaries, while quieter intervals align with lower counts. No major summits or deadlines fall precisely in the resolution period, leaving outcomes sensitive to any fresh diplomatic signals or security incidents that could trigger additional official releases.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKhamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
50-54 63%
55-59 62%
<5 54%
45-49 49%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 18, 2026
<5
54%
5-9
36%
10-14
31%
15-19
31%
20-24
31%
25-29
25%
30-34
31%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
49%
50-54
63%
55-59
62%
60+
1%
50-54 63%
55-59 62%
<5 54%
45-49 49%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 18, 2026
<5
$100 Vol.
54%
5-9
$0 Vol.
36%
10-14
$0 Vol.
31%
15-19
$0 Vol.
31%
20-24
$10 Vol.
31%
25-29
$50 Vol.
25%
30-34
$10 Vol.
31%
35-39
$22 Vol.
1%
40-44
$22 Vol.
1%
45-49
$24 Vol.
49%
50-54
$12 Vol.
63%
55-59
$17 Vol.
62%
60+
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 25-29 posts by the official Mojtaba Khamenei X account during the August 11-18 window, reflecting expectations of sustained messaging amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and efforts to project regime unity. Recent weeks show the account issuing batches of statements on resistance fronts, Hezbollah commemorations, and diplomatic positioning, with activity tied to regional developments rather than daily routines. Internal tensions, including reported friction between the Supreme Leader’s office and President Pezeshkian over negotiation stances, have prompted official channels to emphasize cohesion and reject unauthorized attributions. Broader patterns indicate higher posting volume during periods of escalation or key anniversaries, while quieter intervals align with lower counts. No major summits or deadlines fall precisely in the resolution period, leaving outcomes sensitive to any fresh diplomatic signals or security incidents that could trigger additional official releases.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$287Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 25-29 posts by the official Mojtaba Khamenei X account during the August 11-18 window, reflecting expectations of sustained messaging amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and efforts to project regime unity. Recent weeks show the account issuing batches of statements on resistance fronts, Hezbollah commemorations, and diplomatic positioning, with activity tied to regional developments rather than daily routines. Internal tensions, including reported friction between the Supreme Leader’s office and President Pezeshkian over negotiation stances, have prompted official channels to emphasize cohesion and reject unauthorized attributions. Broader patterns indicate higher posting volume during periods of escalation or key anniversaries, while quieter intervals align with lower counts. No major summits or deadlines fall precisely in the resolution period, leaving outcomes sensitive to any fresh diplomatic signals or security incidents that could trigger additional official releases.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$287Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 25-29 posts by the official Mojtaba Khamenei X account during the August 11-18 window, reflecting expectations of sustained messaging amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and efforts to project regime unity. Recent weeks show the account issuing batches of statements on resistance fronts, Hezbollah commemorations, and diplomatic positioning, with activity tied to regional developments rather than daily routines. Internal tensions, including reported friction between the Supreme Leader’s office and President Pezeshkian over negotiation stances, have prompted official channels to emphasize cohesion and reject unauthorized attributions. Broader patterns indicate higher posting volume during periods of escalation or key anniversaries, while quieter intervals align with lower counts. No major summits or deadlines fall precisely in the resolution period, leaving outcomes sensitive to any fresh diplomatic signals or security incidents that could trigger additional official releases.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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